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We consider estimation of conditional hazard functions and densities over the class of multivariate c\`adl\`ag functions with uniformly bounded sectional variation norm when data are either fully observed or subject to right-censoring. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds , Mark J. van der Laan , Helene C. W. Rytgaard

This paper is concerned with a simulation study for a stochastic production network model, where the capacities of machines may change randomly. We introduce performance measures motivated by risk measures from finance leading to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

We discuss a Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) structure underlying a family of random measures $\mathbf{M}_r$, indexed by $r\in\mathbb{R}$, on a space $\Gamma$ of directed pathways crossing a diamond fractal with Hausdorff dimension two.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Jeremy T. Clark

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

This paper is aimed at extending the H-infinity Bounded Real Lemma to stochastic systems under random disturbances with imprecisely known probability distributions. The statistical uncertainty is measured in entropy theoretic terms using…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael M. Tchaikovsky , Alexander P. Kurdyukov , Victor N. Timin

In this paper, we study general monetary risk measures (without any convexity or weak convexity). A monetary (respectively, positively homogeneous) risk measure can be characterized as the lower envelope of a family of convex (respectively,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Guangyan Jia , Jianming Xia , Rongjie Zhao

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

Stochastic dominance has not been too employed in practice due to its important limitations. To increase its versatility, the concept has recently been adapted by introducing various indices that measure the degree to which one probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matran

Computational imaging has been revolutionized by compressed sensing algorithms, which offer guaranteed uniqueness, convergence, and stability properties. Model-based deep learning methods that combine imaging physics with learned…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Aniket Pramanik , M. Bridget Zimmerman , Mathews Jacob

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

The policy objective of safeguarding financial stability has stimulated a wave of research on systemic risk analytics, yet it still faces challenges in measurability. This paper models systemic risk by tapping into expert knowledge of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Jozsef Mezei , Peter Sarlin

Doubly intractable models are encountered in a number of fields, e.g. social networks, ecology and epidemiology. Inference for such models requires the evaluation of a likelihood function, whose normalising factor depends on the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Yu Yang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

We axiomatically introduce risk-consistent conditional systemic risk measures defined on multidimensional risks. This class consists of those conditional systemic risk measures which can be decomposed into a state-wise conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

We consider some random iterated function systems on the interval and show that the invariant measure has density in $\mathcal{C}^\infty$. To prove this we use some techniques for contractions in cone metrics, applied to the transfer…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Tomas Persson

We obtain sufficient and necessary conditions for the Choquet-Deny theorem to hold in the class of compactly generated totally disconnected locally compact groups of polynomial growth, and in a larger class of totally disconnected…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 W. Jaworski , C. R. E. Raja

Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

A well-known consequence of the ergodic decomposition theorem is that the space of invariant probability measures of a topological dynamical system, endowed with the weak$^*$ topology, is a non-empty metrizable Choquet simplex. We show that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Maria Isabel Cortez , Juan Rivera-Letelier

Stochastic dominance serves as a general framework for modeling a broad spectrum of decision preferences under uncertainty, with risk aversion as one notable example, as it naturally captures the intrinsic structure of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Shicong Cen , Jincheng Mei , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Yuejie Chi , Bo Dai

Recent years have seen the development of many novel scoring tools for disease prognosis and prediction. To become accepted for use in clinical applications, these tools have to be validated on external data. In practice, validation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Matthias Schmid , Tim Friede , Nadja Klein , Leonie Weinhold

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna