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Uncertainty quantification for large-scale inverse problems remains a challenging task. For linear inverse problems with additive Gaussian noise and Gaussian priors, the posterior is Gaussian but sampling can be challenging, especially for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Elle Buser , Julianne Chung

Variational inference (VI) is a method to approximate the computationally intractable posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian statistics. Typically, VI fits a simple parametric distribution to the target posterior by minimizing an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Chirag Modi , Charles Margossian , Yuling Yao , Robert Gower , David Blei , Lawrence Saul

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

We consider the problem of assigning weights to a set of samples or data records, with the goal of achieving a representative weighting, which happens when certain sample averages of the data are close to prescribed values. We frame the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Shane Barratt , Guillermo Angeris , Stephen Boyd

Hybrid Gibbs samplers represent a prominent class of approximated Gibbs algorithms that utilize Markov chains to approximate conditional distributions, with the Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm standing out as a well-known example. Despite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Qian Qin , Nianqiao Ju , Guanyang Wang

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

This paper explores Bayesian inference for a biased sampling model in situations where the population of interest cannot be sampled directly, but rather through an indirect and inherently biased method. Observations are viewed as being the…

Applications · Statistics 2007-11-26 Russell Zaretzki , Michael A. Gilchrist , William M. Briggs , Artin Armagan

Sampling from circular distributions is a fundamental task in directional statistics. A key challenge in acceptance-rejection methods lies in selecting an efficient envelope density, as poor choices can lead to low acceptance rates and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee

In this paper, we address the challenge of sampling in scenarios where limited resources prevent exhaustive measurement across all subjects. We consider a setting where samples are drawn from multiple groups, each following a distribution…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-29 Carol Liu

Bayesian inference for graphical models has received much attention in the literature in recent years. It is well known that when the graph G is decomposable, Bayesian inference is significantly more tractable than in the general…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Kshitij Khare , Bala Rajaratnam , Abhishek Saha

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada

We introduce Volume-Sorted Prediction Set (VSPS), a novel method for uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression that uses conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration. This approach constructs flexible, non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

We propose a new generator for the generalized inverse Gaussian (GIG) distribution by decomposing the density of GIG into two components. The first component is a truncated inverse Gamma density, in order to sample from which we improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-24 Xiaozhu Zhang , Jerome P. Reiter

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The goal of this presentation is to build an efficient non-parametric Bayes classifier in the presence of large numbers of predictors. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while non-parametric procedures tend…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-07 Abhishek Bhattacharya