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We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

This paper investigates system identification problems with Gaussian inputs and quantized observations under fixed thresholds. By reinterpreting the nonlinear effects induced by quantization as the product of the unknown parameter and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Xingrui Liu , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao

Recently, adaptive control systems with relaxed persistent excitation (PE) conditions have been proposed to guarantee true parameter convergence and improve the transient response. However, in some cases, sufficient control performance and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Satoshi Tsuruhara , Kazuhisa Ito

Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yuhe Bai , Chengli Tan , Jiaqi Li , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

Evaluating a neural network on an input that differs markedly from the training data might cause erratic and flawed predictions. We study a method that judges the unusualness of an input by evaluating its informative content compared to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

We establish a high-precision composite model for a piezoelectric fast steering mirror (PFSM) using a Hammerstein structure. A novel asymmetric Bouc-Wen model is proposed to describe the nonlinear rate-independent hysteresis, while a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Sen Yang , Xiaofeng Li

In the slave particle representation with $U(1)$ gauge symmetry, local constraints on physical states characterized by various mean field solutions belong to Dirac's second-class ones. Although constrained systems are extensively…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-08-14 Long Liang , Yue Yu , Xi Luo

In causal inference, sensitivity models assess how unmeasured confounders could alter causal analyses, but the sensitivity parameter -- which quantifies the degree of unmeasured confounding -- is often difficult to interpret. For this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

The structure of the nonlinear inverse problem arising from capillarity-driven imbibition in porous media is investigated, considering a degenerate parabolic PDE with compactly supported diffusivity and boundary-driven fluxes as the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Paola Stolfi , Elia Onofri , Gabriella Bretti

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

We introduce a Bayesian system identification (SysID) framework for jointly estimating robot's state trajectories and physical parameters with high accuracy. It embeds physically consistent inverse dynamics, contact and loop-closure…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Sergi Martinez , Steve Tonneau , Carlos Mastalli

Studying the effects of one-way variation of any number of parameters on any number of output probabilities quickly becomes infeasible in practice, especially if various evidence profiles are to be taken into consideration. To provide for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

This study proposes the novel Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference framework that incorporates symmetry bias into the Bayesian updating process to perform both conventional and inverse Bayesian updates concurrently. Conventional…

Adaptation to environmental change is a common property of biological systems. Cells initially respond to external changes in the environment, but after some time, they regain their original state. By considering an element consisting of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Masayo Inoue , Kunihiko Kaneko

In extreme value theory and other related risk analysis fields, probability weighted moments (PWM) have been frequently used to estimate the parameters of classical extreme value distributions. This method-of-moment technique can be applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Anna Ben-Hamou , Philippe Naveau , Maud Thomas

Many real-life dynamical systems change abruptly followed by almost stationary periods. In this paper, we consider streams of data with such abrupt behavior and investigate the problem of tracking their statistical properties in an online…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi

We present a non-standard Hubbard model applicable to arbitrary single-particle potential profiles and inter-particle interactions. Our approach involves a novel treatment of Wannier functions, free from the ambiguities of conventional…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-05-14 M. Zendra , F. Borgonovi , G. L. Celardo , S. Gurvitz

Bayesian inference is a widely used statistical method. The free energy and generalization loss, which are used to estimate the accuracy of Bayesian inference, are known to be small in singular models that do not have a unique optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Shuya Nagayasu , Sumio Watanabe

A field-theoretic description of the critical behaviour of the weakly disordered systems is given. Directly, for three- and two-dimensional systems a renormalization analysis of the effective Hamiltonian of model with replica symmetry…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 V. V. Prudnikov , P. V. Prudnikov , A. A. Fedorenko

This paper aims to study existence condition of possible bursting oscillations generated by low frequency excitation of a nonlinear vibratory system in the presence of parametric excitation. Slow-fast dissection technique and numerical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Sobhan Mohammadi , Keegan J. Moore
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