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Accurate, high-resolution ocean forecasting is crucial for maritime operations and environmental monitoring. While traditional numerical models are capable of producing sub-daily, eddy-resolving forecasts, they are computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Qiusheng Huang , Yuan Niu , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Lei Chen , Dianjun Zhang , Xuefeng Zhang , Hao Li

The leading operational Global Ocean Forecasting Systems (GOFSs) use physics-driven numerical forecasting models that solve the partial differential equations with expensive computation. Recently, specifically in atmosphere weather…

Research on data-driven ocean models has progressed rapidly in recent years; however, the application of these models to global eddy-resolving ocean forecasting remains limited. The accurate representation of ocean dynamics across a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuta Hirabayashi , Daisuke Matusoka , Konobu Kimura

Global ocean forecasting aims to predict key ocean variables such as temperature, salinity, and currents, which is essential for understanding and describing oceanic phenomena. In recent years, data-driven deep learning-based ocean forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Haoming Jia , Yi Han , Xiang Wang , Huizan Wang , Wei Wu , Jianming Zheng , Peikun Xiao

Data-driven models have advanced deterministic ocean forecasting, but extending machine learning to probabilistic global ocean prediction remains an open challenge. Here we introduce FuXi-ONS, the first machine-learning ensemble forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Ziyi Peng , Lei Chen , Hao Li

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang

Mesoscale eddies dominate the spatiotemporal multiscale variability of the ocean, and their impact on the energy cascade of the global ocean cannot be ignored. Eddy-resolving ocean forecasting is providing more reliable protection for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-16 Qingyu Zheng , Qi Shao , Guijun Han , Wei Li , Hong Li , Xuan Wang

Over the past few years, due to the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting, state-of-the-art ML models have shown superior performance compared to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Feng Zhang , Yuan Cheng , Yinghui Xu , Yuan Qi , Hao Li

Weather forecasting traditionally relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems that integrates global observational systems, data assimilation (DA), and forecasting models. Despite steady improvements in forecast accuracy over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiuyu Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Xiaoze Xu , Yuanqing Huang , Hao Li , J. David Neelin , Deliang Chen , Jie Feng , Wei Han , Libo Wu , Yuan Qi

Over the past year, data-driven global weather forecasting has emerged as a new alternative to traditional numerical weather prediction. This innovative approach yields forecasts of comparable accuracy at a tiny fraction of computational…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-14 Zekun Ni

Ocean forecasting is critical for various applications and is essential for understanding air-sea interactions, which contribute to mitigating the impacts of extreme events. State-of-the-art ocean numerical forecasting systems can offer…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Guosong Wang , Min Hou , Mingyue Qin , Xinrong Wu , Zhigang Gao , Guofang Chao , Xiaoshuang Zhang

In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading $43$ years of hourly global weather data from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-07 Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Hengheng Zhang , Xin Chen , Xiaotao Gu , Qi Tian

Accurate ocean forecasting is essential for supporting a wide range of marine applications. Recent advances in artificial intelligence have highlighted the potential of data-driven models to outperform traditional numerical approaches,…

Short-term ocean forecast skill depends strongly on the three-dimensional ocean structure of the upper ocean, which governs stratification, subsurface heat storage, and the response of the ocean to atmospheric forcing. However, AI ocean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sensen Wu , Yifan Chen , Guantao Pu , Xiaoyao Sun , Yijun Chen , Jin Qi , Ming Kong , Keyi Yang , Lichen Xu , Wenguan Wang , Xiaofeng Li , Zhenhong Du

Machine learning (ML) models have become increasingly valuable in weather forecasting, providing forecasts that not only lower computational costs but often match or exceed the accuracy of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Xu Fan , Wenxu Qian , Jun Liu , Hao Li

Accurate and efficient global ocean state estimation remains a grand challenge for Earth system science, hindered by the dual bottlenecks of computational scalability and degraded data fidelity in traditional data assimilation (DA) and deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yanfei Xiang , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Quan Zhang , Ruiqi Shu , Xiao Zhou , Xi Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

Ocean forecasting is crucial for both scientific research and societal benefits. Currently, the most accurate forecasting systems are global ocean forecasting systems (GOFSs), which represent the ocean state variables (OSVs) as discrete…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Nan Yang , Chong Wang , Meihua Zhao , Zimeng Zhao , Huiling Zheng , Bin Zhang , Jianing Wang , Xiaofeng Li

This work focuses on the end-to-end forecast of global extreme marine heatwaves (MHWs), which are unusually warm sea surface temperature events with profound impacts on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-15 Ruiqi Shu , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruijian Gou , Kun Wang , Yanfei Xiang , Fan Xu , Qingsong Wen , Xiaomeng Huang

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

High-resolution wind information is essential for wind energy planning and power forecasting, particularly in regions with complex terrain. However, most AI-based weather forecasting models operate at kilometer-scale resolution, constrained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 Chensen Lin , Ruian Tie , Shihong Yi , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li
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