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It is unclear whether strong forecasting performance reflects genuine temporal understanding or the ability to reason under contextual and event-driven conditions. We introduce TemporalBench, a multi-domain benchmark designed to evaluate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Muyan Weng , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Yashaswi Sharma , Yan Liu

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

Existing temporal QA benchmarks focus on simple fact-seeking queries from news corpora, while reasoning-intensive retrieval benchmarks lack temporal grounding. However, real-world information needs often require reasoning about temporal…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Abdelrahman Abdallah , Mohammed Ali , Muhammad Abdul-Mageed , Adam Jatowt

We introduce ChronoQA, a large-scale benchmark dataset for Chinese question answering, specifically designed to evaluate temporal reasoning in Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems. ChronoQA is constructed from over 300,000 news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Ziyang Chen , Erxue Min , Xiang Zhao , Yunxin Li , Xin Jia , Jinzhi Liao , Jichao Li , Shuaiqiang Wang , Baotian Hu , Dawei Yin

Marginal expected shortfall (MES) is an important measure when assessing and quantifying the contribution of the financial institution to a systemic crisis. In this paper, we propose time-lagged marginal expected shortfall (TMES) as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Jiajun Liu , Xuannan Liu , Yuwei Zhao

One of the most widely used tasks for evaluating Large Language Models (LLMs) is Multiple-Choice Question Answering (MCQA). While open-ended question answering tasks are more challenging to evaluate, MCQA tasks are, in principle, easier to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Francesco Maria Molfese , Luca Moroni , Luca Gioffré , Alessandro Scirè , Simone Conia , Roberto Navigli

The prolific use of Large Language Models (LLMs) as an alternate knowledge base requires them to be factually consistent, necessitating both correctness and consistency traits for paraphrased queries. Recently, significant attempts have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Ashutosh Bajpai , Aaryan Goyal , Atif Anwer , Tanmoy Chakraborty

Salient Span Masking (SSM) has shown itself to be an effective strategy to improve closed-book question answering performance. SSM extends general masked language model pretraining by creating additional unsupervised training sentences that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Jeremy R. Cole , Aditi Chaudhary , Bhuwan Dhingra , Partha Talukdar

We congratulate the authors for a stimulating and valuable manuscript, providing a careful review of the state-of the-art in cross-sectional and time-series benchmarking procedures for small area estimation. They develop a novel two-stage…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-05-27 Rebecca C. Steorts , M. Delores Ugarte

Targeted syntactic evaluation of subject-verb number agreement in English (TSE) evaluates language models' syntactic knowledge using hand-crafted minimal pairs of sentences that differ only in the main verb's conjugation. The method…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Benjamin Newman , Kai-Siang Ang , Julia Gong , John Hewitt

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-16 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Boris Golden , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

While recent test-time adaptations exhibit efficacy by adjusting batch normalization to narrow domain disparities, their effectiveness diminishes with realistic mini-batches due to inaccurate target estimation. As previous attempts merely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Zixian Su , Jingwei Guo , Kai Yao , Xi Yang , Qiufeng Wang , Kaizhu Huang

Who is the US President? The answer changes depending on when the question is asked. While large language models (LLMs) are evaluated on various reasoning tasks, they often miss a crucial dimension: time. In real-world scenarios, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-16 David Herel , Vojtech Bartek , Jiri Jirak , Tomas Mikolov

Question answering over knowledge bases (KB-QA) poses challenges in handling complex questions that need to be decomposed into sub-questions. An important case, addressed here, is that of temporal questions, where cues for temporal…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Zhen Jia , Abdalghani Abujabal , Rishiraj Saha Roy , Jannik Stroetgen , Gerhard Weikum

Multi-modal tasks involving vision and language in deep learning continue to rise in popularity and are leading to the development of newer models that can generalize beyond the extent of their training data. The current models lack…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ethan Shen , Scotty Singh , Bhavesh Kumar

We introduce SPAN, a cross-calendar temporal reasoning benchmark, which requires LLMs to perform intra-calendar temporal reasoning and inter-calendar temporal conversion. SPAN features ten cross-calendar temporal reasoning directions, two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Zhongjian Miao , Hao Fu , Chen Wei

Question answering (QA) can only make progress if we know if an answer is correct, but current answer correctness (AC) metrics struggle with verbose, free-form answers from large language models (LLMs). There are two challenges with current…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Zongxia Li , Ishani Mondal , Yijun Liang , Huy Nghiem , Jordan Lee Boyd-Graber

In this work, we introduce Entropy Area Score (EAS), a simple yet effective metric to quantify uncertainty in the answer generation process of reasoning large language models (LLMs). EAS requires neither external models nor repeated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Yongfu Zhu , Lin Sun , Guangxiang Zhao , Weihong Lin , Xiangzheng Zhang

Understanding accurate atomic temporal event is essential for video comprehension. However, current video-language benchmarks often fall short to evaluate Large Multi-modal Models' (LMMs) temporal event understanding capabilities, as they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Yuqi Liu , Qin Jin , Tianyuan Qu , Xuan Liu , Yang Du , Bei Yu , Jiaya Jia

The EM algorithm is a method for finding the maximum likelihood estimate of a model in the presence of missing data. Unfortunately, EM does not produce a parameter covariance matrix for standard errors. Supplemented EM (SEM; Meng & Rubin,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-04 Joshua N. Pritikin