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We use multi-class machine learning classifiers to identify the stocks that outperform or underperform other stocks. The resulting long-short portfolios achieve annual Sharpe ratios of 1.67 (value-weighted) and 3.35 (equal-weighted), with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-24 Yang Bai , Kuntara Pukthuanthong

Classical portfolio optimization often requires forecasting asset returns and their corresponding variances in spite of the low signal-to-noise ratio provided in the financial markets. Modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) offers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Daniele Tantari

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

With the development of artificial intelligence technology, quantitative trading systems represented by reinforcement learning have emerged in the stock trading market. The authors combined the deep Q network in reinforcement learning with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-01 Yizhuo Li , Peng Zhou , Fangyi Li , Xiao Yang

AI and data driven solutions have been applied to different fields and achieved outperforming and promising results. In this research work we apply k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Random Forest classifiers for detecting…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Mohsen Asgari , Hossein Khasteh

Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Qiong Wu , Christopher G. Brinton , Zheng Zhang , Andrea Pizzoferrato , Zhenming Liu , Mihai Cucuringu

Advanced AI systems offer substantial benefits but also introduce risks. In 2025, AI-enabled cyber offense has emerged as a concrete example. This technical report applies a quantitative risk modeling methodology (described in full in a…

The success of artificial intelligence (AI), and deep learning models in particular, has led to their widespread adoption across various industries due to their ability to process huge amounts of data and learn complex patterns. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Wei Jie Yeo , Wihan van der Heever , Rui Mao , Erik Cambria , Ranjan Satapathy , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We formalize a macro-financial stress test for rapid AI adoption. Rather than a productivity bust or existential risk, we identify a distribution-and-contract mismatch: AI-generated abundance coexists with demand deficiency because economic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Xupeng Chen

This paper proposes a deep delta hedging framework for options, utilizing neural networks to learn the residuals between the hedging function and the implied Black-Scholes delta. This approach leverages the smoother properties of these…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-27 Chunhui Qiao , Xiangwei Wan

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

This paper investigates the enhancement of financial time series forecasting with the use of neural networks through supervised autoencoders, aiming to improve investment strategy performance. It specifically examines the impact of noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-19 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Slepaczuk

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Stock trading strategies play a critical role in investment. However, it is challenging to design a profitable strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market. In this paper, we propose an ensemble strategy that employs deep reinforcement…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Shan Zhong , Anwar Walid

Financial performance management is at the core of business management and has historically relied on financial ratio analysis using Balance Sheet and Income Statement data to assess company performance as compared with competitors. Little…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-13 Ricardo Cuervo

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Deep learning has been shown to outperform traditional machine learning algorithms across a wide range of problem domains. However, current deep learning algorithms have been criticized as uninterpretable "black-boxes" which cannot explain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-07 Devinder Kumar , Graham W Taylor , Alexander Wong

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

As AI models scale to billions of parameters and operate with increasing autonomy, ensuring their safe, reliable operation demands engineering-grade security and assurance frameworks. This paper presents an enterprise-level, risk-aware,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Krti Tallam