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The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

In this paper we introduce a multi-agent deep-learning method which trades in the Futures markets based on the US S&P 500 index. The method (referred to as Model A) is an innovation founded on existing well-established machine-learning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-22 CJ Finnegan , James F. McCann , Salissou Moutari

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

Financial AI empowers sophisticated approaches to financial market forecasting, portfolio optimization, and automated trading. This survey provides a systematic analysis of these developments across three primary dimensions: predictive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Junhua Liu

This paper develops an autonomous framework for systematic factor investing via agentic AI. Rather than relying on sequential manual prompts, our approach operationalizes the model as a self-directed engine that endogenously formulates…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Allen Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan

Financial markets are noisy and non-stationary, making alpha mining highly sensitive to backtest noise and regime shifts. While recent agentic frameworks improve automation, they often lack controllable multi-round search and reliable reuse…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Jun Han , Shuo Zhang , Wei Li , Yifan Dong , Tu Hu , Yumo Zhu , Xiaomin Yu , Xin Guo , Zhaowei Liu , Kunyi Wang , Jingping Liu , Tianyi Jiang , Ruichuan An , Sen Hu , Zhi Yang , Ronghao Che , Huacan Wang

We develop a rigorous walk-forward validation framework for algorithmic trading designed to mitigate overfitting and lookahead bias. Our methodology combines interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation with reinforcement learning and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Gagan Deep , Akash Deep , William Lamptey

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

While traditional equity factor investing relies heavily on slow-moving fundamental accounting metrics, these models frequently suffer from factor crowding and miss real-time, sentiment-driven market dislocations. This study explores how…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Jin Du , Alexander Walter , Maxim Ulrich

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

In the trading process, financial signals often imply the time to buy and sell assets to generate excess returns compared to a benchmark (e.g., an index). Alpha is the portion of an asset's return that is not explained by exposure to this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Yining Wang , Jinman Zhao , Yuri Lawryshyn

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

Making consistently profitable financial decisions in a continuously evolving and volatile stock market has always been a difficult task. Professionals from different disciplines have developed foundational theories to anticipate price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruoyu Guo , Haochen Qiu , Xuelun Hou

The proposed system aims to use various machine learning algorithms to enhance financial prediction and generate highly accurate analyses. It introduces an AI-driven platform which offers inflation-analysis, stock market prediction, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vishal Patil , Kavya Bhand , Kaustubh Mukdam , Kavya Sharma , Manas Kawtikwar , Prajwal Kavhar , Hridayansh Kaware

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

The application of machine learning to financial prediction has accelerated dramatically, yet the conditions under which complex models outperform simple alternatives remain poorly understood. This paper investigates whether advanced signal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Sungwoo Kang

We develop a unified model in which AI adoption in financial markets generates systemic risk through three mutually reinforcing channels: performative prediction, algorithmic herding, and cognitive dependency. Within an extended rational…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer
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