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We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

The global first passage time density of a network is the probability that a random walker released at a random site arrives at an absorbing trap at time T. We find simple expressions for the mean global first passage time <T> for five…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-09-04 C. P. Haynes , A. P. Roberts

We present an analytical approximation scheme for the first passage time distribution on a finite interval of a random walker on a random forcing energy landscape. The approximation scheme captures the behavior of the distribution over all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-23 Michael Sheinman , Olivier Bénichou , Raphaël Voituriez , Yariv Kafri

The first-exit time process of an inverse Gaussian L\'evy process is considered. The one-dimensional distribution functions of the process are obtained. They are not infinitely divisible and the tail probabilities decay exponentially. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. Vellaisamy , A. Kumar

We investigate the first-passage properties of nearest-neighbor hopping on a finite interval with disordered hopping rates. We develop an approach that relies on the backward equation, in conjunction with probability generating functions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 James Holehouse , S. Redner

We construct space-time stationary solutions of the 1D Burgers equation with random forcing in the absence of periodicity or any other compactness assumptions. More precisely, for the forcing given by a homogeneous Poissonian point field in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Yuri Bakhtin , Eric Cator , Konstantin Khanin

Given a two-dimensional correlated diffusion process, we determine the joint density of the first passage times of the process to some constant boundaries. This quantity depends on the joint density of the first passage time of the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Laura Sacerdote , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Cristina Zucca

We consider the problem of stochastic exit from a planar domain, whose boundary is an unstable periodic orbit, and which contains a stable periodic orbit. This problem arises when investigating the distribution of noise-induced phase slips…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

In one and two dimensions, the first-passage time for a diffusing particle in the presence of a radial potential flow to hit a sphere, conditioned on actually hitting the sphere, is independent of the sign of the drift. Moreover, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Merek Johnson

How long a stochastic process survives before leaving a domain depends not only on its intrinsic dynamics but also on how it is observed. Classical first-passage theory assumes continuous monitoring with absorbing boundaries…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-10-14 Lars Fritz

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

We propose a new approach to the problem of the first passage time. Our method is applicable not only to the Wiener process but also to the non--Gaussian L$\acute{\rm e}$vy flights or to more complicated stochastic processes whose…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Jun-ichi Inoue , Naoya Sazuka

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

We study the first passage times of discrete-time branching random walks in ${\mathbb R}^d$ where $d\geq 1$. Here, the genealogy of the particles follows a supercritical Galton-Watson process. We provide asymptotics of the first passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai , Shaswat Mohanty , Zhenyuan Zhang

In a specific class of open quantum systems with finite and fixed numbers of collapsed quantum states, the semi-Markov process method is used to calculate the large deviations of the first passage time statistics. The core formula is an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-10 Fei Liu , Shihao Xia , Shanhe Su

The first passage is a generic concept for quantifying when a random quantity such as the position of a diffusing molecule or the value of a stock crosses a preset threshold (target) for the first time. The last decade saw an enlightening…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-26 Aljaz Godec , Ralf Metzler

We study the first passage time (FPT) problem for biased continuous time random walks. Using the recently formulated framework of fractional Fokker-Planck equations, we obtain the Laplace transform of the FPT density function when the bias…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t)$ in the Euclidean space $\Bbb R^m, \; m\ge 2,$ starting from the origin $\bold 0\in\Bbb R^m$ that, at Poisson-paced times, changes its direction at random according to arbitrary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Alexander D. Kolesnik

For each prime $p$, a diffusion constant together with a positive exponent specify a Vladimirov operator and an associated $p$-adic diffusion equation. The fundamental solution of this pseudo-differential equation gives rise to a measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 David Weisbart

We study the Patient Assignment Scheduling (PAS) problem in a random environment that arises in the management of patient flow in the hospital systems, due to the stochastic nature of the arrivals as well as the Length of Stay distribution.…

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