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Related papers: Misspecified learning and evolutionary stability

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Toward explaining the persistence of biased inferences, we propose a framework to evaluate competing (mis)specifications in strategic settings. Agents with heterogeneous (mis)specifications coexist and draw Bayesian inferences about their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-14 Kevin He , Jonathan Libgober

We use the indirect evolutionary approach to study evolutionarily stable preferences against multiple mutations in single- and multi-population matching settings, respectively. Players choose strategies to maximize their subjective…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Yu-Sung Tu , Wei-Torng Juang

Individuals use models to guide decisions, but many models are wrong. This paper studies which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative models. Consider an agent who uses her model to learn the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-22 Cuimin Ba

We investigate how distorted, yet structured, beliefs can persist in strategic situations. Specifically, we study two-player games in which each player is endowed with a biased-belief function that represents the discrepancy between a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-06-30 Yuval Heller , Eyal Winter

This chapter develops a unified framework for studying misspecified learning situations in which agents optimize and update beliefs within an incorrect model of their environment. We review the statistical foundations of learning from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-16 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo

The evolution of preferences that account for other agents' fitness, or other-regarding preferences, has been modeled with the "indirect approach" to evolutionary game theory. Under the indirect evolutionary approach, agents make decisions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Anthony DiGiovanni , Nicolas Macé , Jesse Clifton

We study the emergence of conformity preferences in an environment in which agents choose effort under heterogeneous, possibly misspecified returns, and social interactions do not directly affect material payoffs. Some agents choose effort…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Paolo Pin , Roberto Rozzi

We develop an equilibrium framework that relaxes the standard assumption that people have a correctly-specified view of their environment. Each player is characterized by a (possibly misspecified) subjective model, which describes the set…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-22 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In this dynamics, a belief estimate of the parameter is repeatedly updated given players' strategies and realized…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each step, an information system estimates a belief distribution of the parameter based on the players'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

When a prediction algorithm serves a collection of users, disparities in prediction quality are likely to emerge. If users respond to accurate predictions by increasing engagement, inviting friends, or adopting trends, repeated learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Eden Saig , Nir Rosenfeld

We propose a learning dynamics to model how strategic agents repeatedly play a continuous game while relying on an information platform to learn an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each time step, the platform updates a belief estimate…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

The literature on centralized matching markets often assumes that a true preference of each player is known to herself and fixed, but empirical evidence casts doubt on its plausibility. To circumvent the problem, we consider evolutionary…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-18 Hidemasa Ishii , Nariaki Nishino

We consider an integro-differential model for evolutionary game theory which describes the evolution of a population adopting mixed strategies. Using a reformulation based on the first moments of the solution, we prove some analytical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-19 A. Boccabella , R. Natalini , L. Pareschi

Interpretable classification models are built with the purpose of providing a comprehensible description of the decision logic to an external oversight agent. When considered in isolation, a decision tree, a set of classification rules, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Riccardo Guidotti , Salvatore Ruggieri

Coordination games admit two types of equilibria: pure equilibria, where all players successfully coordinate their actions, and mixed equilibria, where players frequently experience miscoordination. The existing literature shows that under…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-28 Srinivas Arigapudi , Yuval Heller , Amnon Schreiber

The study of evolutionary games with pairwise local interactions has been of interest to many different disciplines. Also local interactions with multiple opponents had been considered, although always for a fixed amount of players. In many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-06 Natalia L. Kontorovsky , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Federico Vazquez

We study misspecified Bayesian learning in principal-agent relationships, where an agent is assessed by an evaluator and rewarded by the market. The agent's outcome depends on their innate ability, costly effort -- whose effectiveness is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Federico Echenique , Anqi Li

Model-based multi-agent control requires agents to possess a model of the behavior of others to make strategic decisions. Solution concepts from game theory are often used to model the emergent collective behavior of self-interested agents…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Ada Yildirim , Bryce L. Ferguson

The idea of incompetence as a learning or adaptation function was introduced in the context of evolutionary games as a fixed parameter. However, live organisms usually perform different nonlinear adaptation functions such as a power law or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-24 Maria Kleshnina , Jerzy A. Filar , Cecilia Gonzalez Tokman
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