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In this chapter we take a look at the universal approximation question for stochastic feedforward neural networks. In contrast to deterministic networks, which represent mappings from a set of inputs to a set of outputs, stochastic networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Thomas Merkh , Guido Montúfar

A considerable number of systems have recently been reported in which Brownian yet non-Gaussian dynamics was observed. These are processes characterised by a linear growth in time of the mean squared displacement, yet the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-26 V. Sposini , A. V. Chechkin , F. Seno , G. Pagnini , R. Metzler

Stochastic dominance serves as a general framework for modeling a broad spectrum of decision preferences under uncertainty, with risk aversion as one notable example, as it naturally captures the intrinsic structure of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Shicong Cen , Jincheng Mei , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Yuejie Chi , Bo Dai

Available methods for identification of stochastic dynamical systems from input-output data generally impose restricting structural assumptions on either the noise structure in the data-generating system or the possible state probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-02 Gerben I. Beintema , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

We consider a nonlinear state-space model with the state transition and observation functions expressed as basis function expansions. The coefficients in the basis function expansions are learned from data. Using a connection to Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-29 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön

Finding reduced models of spatially-distributed chemical reaction networks requires an estimation of which effective dynamics are relevant. We propose a machine learning approach to this coarse graining problem, where a maximum entropy…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Oliver K. Ernst , Thomas Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

We present a universal approach to the investigation of the dynamics in generalized models. In these models the processes that are taken into account are not restricted to specific functional forms. Therefore a single generalized models can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thilo Gross , Ulrike Feudel

Modeling stochastic dynamics from discrete observations is a key interdisciplinary challenge. Existing methods often fail to estimate the continuous evolution of probability densities from trajectories or face the curse of dimensionality.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ruikun Li , Jiazhen Liu , Huandong Wang , Qingmin Liao , Yong Li

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Practical Bayesian learning often requires (1) online inference, (2) dynamic models, and (3) ensembling over multiple different models. Recent advances have shown how to use random feature approximations to achieve scalable, online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

The analysis of parametric and non-parametric uncertainties of very large dynamical systems requires the construction of a stochastic model of said system. Linear approaches relying on random matrix theory and principal componant analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Hamza Boukraichi , Nissrine Akkari , Fabien Casenave , David Ryckelynck

A machine learning technique is proposed for quantifying uncertainty in power system dynamics with spatiotemporally correlated stochastic forcing. We learn one-dimensional linear partial differential equations for the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tyler E. Maltba , Vishwas Rao , Daniel Adrian Maldonado

Loopy belief propagation performs approximate inference on graphical models with loops. One might hope to compensate for the approximation by adjusting model parameters. Learning algorithms for this purpose have been explored previously,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-03 Xaq Pitkow , Yashar Ahmadian , Ken D. Miller

Normalizing flows are a class of generative models that enable exact likelihood evaluation. While these models have already found various applications in particle physics, normalizing flows are not flexible enough to model many of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-07 Rob Verheyen

The aim of this paper is to show the interest in fitting features with an $\alpha$-stable distribution to classify imperfect data. The supervised pattern recognition is thus based on the theory of continuous belief functions, which is a way…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Anthony Fiche , Jean-Christophe Cexus , Arnaud Martin , Ali Khenchaf

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki

Expectation propagation is a general prescription for approximation of integrals in statistical inference problems. Its literature is mainly concerned with Bayesian inference scenarios. However, expectation propagation can also be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 P. Hall , I. M. Johnstone , J. T. Ormerod , M. P. Wand , J. C. F. Yu

We propose a new model for forming beliefs and learning about unknown probabilities (such as the probability of picking a red marble from a bag with an unknown distribution of coloured marbles). The most widespread model for such situations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Alexandru Baltag , Soroush Rafiee Rad , Sonja Smets

The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is widely applied to perform approximate inference on arbitrary graphical models, in part due to its excellent empirical properties and performance. However, little is known theoretically about when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Alexander T. Ihler

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) and normalizing flows are both approaches to density estimation that use deep neural networks to transform samples from an uninformative prior distribution to an approximation of the data distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Tianci Liu , Jeffrey Regier