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Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

We present a novel Bayesian approach for high-dimensional grouped regression under sparsity. We leverage a sparse projection method that uses a sparsity-inducing map to derive an induced posterior on a lower-dimensional parameter space. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghosal

The lasso has become an important practical tool for high dimensional regression as well as the object of intense theoretical investigation. But despite the availability of efficient algorithms, the lasso remains computationally demanding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Christopher Genovese , Jiashun Jin , Larry Wasserman

Popular regularizers with non-differentiable penalties, such as Lasso, Elastic Net, Generalized Lasso, or SLOPE, reduce the dimension of the parameter space by inducing sparsity or clustering in the estimators' coordinates. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ivan Hejný , Jonas Wallin , Małgorzata Bogdan , Michał Kos

New upper bounds are developed for the $L_2$ distance between $\xi/\text{Var}[\xi]^{1/2}$ and linear and quadratic functions of $z\sim N(0,I_n)$ for random variables of the form $\xi=bz^\top f(z) - \text{div} f(z)$. The linear approximation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Pierre C Bellec , Cun-Hui Zhang

Confidence intervals for the means of multiple normal populations are often based on a hierarchical normal model. While commonly used interval procedures based on such a model have the nominal coverage rate on average across a population of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

Lasso is a celebrated method for variable selection in linear models, but it faces challenges when the variables are moderately or strongly correlated. This motivates alternative approaches such as using a non-convex penalty, adding a ridge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Zheng Tracy Ke , Longlin Wang

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

We propose new inference tools for forward stepwise regression, least angle regression, and the lasso. Assuming a Gaussian model for the observation vector y, we first describe a general scheme to perform valid inference after any selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Jonathan Taylor , Richard Lockhart , Robert Tibshirani

Vertically weighted averages perform a bilateral filtering of data, in order to preserve fine details of the underlying signal, especially discontinuities such as jumps (in dimension one) or edges (in dimension two). In homogeneous regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

Valid uncertainty quantification after model selection remains challenging in high-dimensional linear regression, especially within the possibilistic inferential model (PIM) framework. We develop possibilistic inferential models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yaohui Lin

Penalized (or regularized) regression, as represented by Lasso and its variants, has become a standard technique for analyzing high-dimensional data when the number of variables substantially exceeds the sample size. The performance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

Increasingly large parameter spaces, used to more accurately model precision observables in physics, can paradoxically lead to large deviations in the inferred parameters of interest -- a bias known as volume projection effects -- when…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-29 Alexander Reeves , Pierre Zhang , Henry Zheng

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

Laplace's method, a family of asymptotic methods used to approximate integrals, is presented as a potential candidate for the tool box of techniques used for knowledge acquisition and probabilistic inference in belief networks with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Adriano Azevedo-Filho , Ross D. Shachter

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

High-dimensional time series forecasting suffers from severe overfitting when the number of predictors exceeds available observations, making standard local projection methods unstable and unreliable. We propose an enhanced Random Subspace…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Eman Khalid , Moimma Ali Khan , Zarmeena Ali , Abdullah Illyas , Muhammad Usman , Saoud Ahmed

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-21 Brian L. Trippe , Jonathan H. Huggins , Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick