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Additive models, such as produced by gradient boosting, and full interaction models, such as classification and regression trees (CART), are widely used algorithms that have been investigated largely in isolation. We show that these models…

Accurate modeling of robot dynamics is essential for model-based control, yet remains challenging under distributional shifts and real-time constraints. In this work, we formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Angelo Moroncelli , Matteo Rufolo , Gunes Cagin Aydin , Asad Ali Shahid , Loris Roveda

Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari

This paper introduces a multi-timescale stochastic programming framework designed to address decision-making challenges in power systems, particularly those with high renewable energy penetration. The framework models interactions across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

Decision trees are widely used for non-linear modeling, as they capture interactions between predictors while producing inherently interpretable models. Despite their popularity, performing inference on the non-linear fit remains largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Soham Bakshi , Snigdha Panigrahi

Diffusion planners have shown promise in handling long-horizon and sparse-reward tasks due to the non-autoregressive plan generation. However, their inherent stochastic risk of generating infeasible trajectories presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Lang Feng , Pengjie Gu , Bo An , Gang Pan

Neural diffusion processes provide a scalable, non-Gaussian approach to modelling distributions over functions, but existing formulations are limited to single-task inference and do not capture dependencies across related tasks. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Joseph Rawson , Domniki Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Offline decision-making via diffusion models often produces trajectories that are misaligned with system dynamics, limiting their reliability for control. We propose Model Predictive Diffuser (MPDiffuser), a compositional diffusion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Haldun Balim , Na Li , Yilun Du

Reinforcement learning with stochastic optimal control offers a promising framework for diffusion fine-tuning, where a pre-trained diffusion model is optimized to generate paths that lead to a reward-tilted distribution. While these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Sophia Tang , Yuchen Zhu , Molei Tao , Pranam Chatterjee

The ability to predict the future trajectories of traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of autonomous vehicles. In this paper, a diffusion-based generative model for multi-agent trajectory prediction is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Theodor Westny , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Urban spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is crucial for various urban applications such as intelligent scheduling and trip planning. Previous studies focus on modeling ST correlations among urban locations in offline settings, which often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Chengxin Wang , Gary Tan , Swagato Barman Roy , Beng Chin Ooi

Data-dependent metrics are powerful tools for learning the underlying structure of high-dimensional data. This article develops and analyzes a data-dependent metric known as diffusion state distance (DSD), which compares points using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Lenore Cowen , Kapil Devkota , Xiaozhe Hu , James M. Murphy , Kaiyi Wu

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

This paper introduces the Dual-System Thinking (DST) model, a decision-theoretic framework that integrates psychological dual-process theories into economic modeling. A single cognitive weight parameter governs the relative influence of the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Tri Phu Vu

This paper proposes a decentralized design approach of consensus protocols of multi-agent systems via a directed-spanning-tree(DST)-based linear transformation and the corresponding minimal communication links. First, the consensus problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Yangzhou Chen , Lanhao Zhao

Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

Realistic driving simulation requires that NPCs not only mimic natural driving behaviors but also react to the behavior of other simulated agents. Recent developments in diffusion-based scenario generation focus on creating diverse and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Yunpeng Liu , Matthew Niedoba , William Harvey , Adam Scibior , Berend Zwartsenberg , Frank Wood

Random forests are a machine learning method used to automatically classify datasets and consist of a multitude of decision trees. While these random forests often have higher performance and generalize better than a single decision tree,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Max Sondag , Christofer Meinecke , Dennis Collaris , Tatiana von Landesberger , Stef van den Elzen