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Related papers: Outside options and risk attitude

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This study examines strategic behavior in crowdfunding using a large-scale online experiment. Building on the model of Arieli et. al 2023, we test predictions about risk aversion (i.e., opting out despite seeing a positive private signal)…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-17 Din Amir , Bar Hoter , Moran Koren

In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

The downside risk of a portfolio of (equity)assets is generally substantially higher than the downside risk of its components. In particular in times of crises when assets tend to have high correlation, the understanding of this difference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alex Langnau , Daniel Cangemi

This work suggests the estimation method developed in relation to the position of the robotic system (RS) operator, showing his degree of risk proneness. The base models are: Hurwitz pessimism/optimism criterion and decision trees. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Valery Vilisov

Assuming that agents' preferences satisfy first-order stochastic dominance, we show how the Expected Utility paradigm can rationalize all optimal investment choices: the optimal investment strategy in any behavioral law-invariant…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-03 Carole Bernard , Jit Seng Chen , Steven Vanduffel

Identifying and quantifying factors influencing human decision making remains an outstanding challenge, impacting the performance and predictability of social and technological systems. In many cases, system failures are traced to human…

Evidence suggests that participants in strategy-proof matching mechanisms play dominated strategies. To explain the data, we introduce expectation-based loss aversion into a school-choice setting and characterize choice-acclimating personal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-28 Vincent Meisner , Jonas von Wangenheim

Aggressive incentive schemes that allow individuals to impose economic punishment on themselves if they fail to meet health goals present a promising approach for encouraging healthier behavior. However, the element of choice inherent in…

General Economics · Economics 2018-11-08 Idris Adjerid , Rachael Purta , Aaron Striegel , George Loewenstein

All people have to make risky decisions in everyday life. And we do not know how true they are. But is it possible to mathematically assess the correctness of our choice? This article discusses the model of decision making under risk on the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 O. A. Malafeyev , A. N. Malova , A. E. Tsybaeva

We analyze an extended model of the Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma where agents decide to play based on the data from their limited memory or recommendations. The cooperators can decide whether to play with the matched opponent or not. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Orhun Gorkem , Haluk O. Bingol

This research is comparing learning environments to students dropout intentions. While using statistics I looked at data and the correlations between two articles to see how the two studies looked side to side. Learning environments and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Edward Simmons

Previous studies show that information security breaches and privacy violations are important issues for organisations and people. It is acknowledged that decreasing the risk in this domain requires consideration of the technological…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-29 Nader Sohrabi Safa , Carsten Maple , Steve Furnell , Muhammad Ajmal Azad , Charith Perera , Mohammad Dabbagh , Mehdi Sookhak

We consider insurance derivatives depending on an external physical risk process, for example a temperature in a low dimensional climate model. We assume that this process is correlated with a tradable financial asset. We derive optimal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Stefan Ankirchner , Peter Imkeller , Alexandre Popier

The presence of uncertainty in policy evaluation significantly complicates the process of policy ranking and selection in real-world settings. We formally consider offline policy selection as learning preferences over a set of policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Mengjiao Yang , Bo Dai , Ofir Nachum , George Tucker , Dale Schuurmans

A fundamental component in the theoretical school choice literature is the problem a student faces in deciding which schools to apply to. Recent models have considered a set of schools of different selectiveness and a student who is unsure…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren , Emily Ryu , Éva Tardos

Policy gradient methods are widely adopted reinforcement learning algorithms for tasks with continuous action spaces. These methods succeeded in many application domains, however, because of their notorious sample inefficiency their use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Davide Mambelli , Stephan Bongers , Onno Zoeter , Matthijs T. J. Spaan , Frans A. Oliehoek

In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding performatively stable models, which are the fixed points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 John Miller , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic

When does reputation make experts play it safe, and what policy reverses that? I isolate a single lever - visibility of outcomes. In a two-page model with binary signals and outcomes, I show: (i) with an uninformative safe option and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-05 Georgy Lukyanov

The option is a financial derivative, which is regularly employed in reducing the risk of its underlying securities. However, investing in option is still risky. Such risk becomes much severer for speculators who utilize option as a means…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Qi-Wen Wang , Jian-Jun Shu

We consider an agent community wishing to decide on several binary issues by means of issue-by-issue majority voting. For each issue and each agent, one of the two options is better than the other. However, some of the agents may be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Shiri Alouf-Heffetz , Laurent Bulteau , Edith Elkind , Nimrod Talmon , Nicholas Teh