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In this article we develop algorithms for data assimilation based upon a computational time dependent stable/unstable splitting. Our particular method is based upon shadowing refinement and synchronization techniques and is motivated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-31 Bart de Leeuw , Svetlana Dubinkina , Jason Frank , Andrew Steyer , Xuemin Tu , Erik Van Vleck

We apply two data assimilation (DA) methods, a smoother and a filter, and a model-free machine learning (ML) shallow network to forecast two weakly turbulent systems. We analyse the effect of the spatial sparsity of observations on accuracy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-16 Vikrant Gupta , Yuanqing Chen , Minping Wan

This work is about a slow-fast data assimilation system under non-Gaussian noisy fluctuations. Firstly, we show the existence of a random invariant manifold for a stochastic dynamical system with non-Gaussian noise and two-time scales.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Yanjie Zhang , Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

Analyzing high-dimensional data presents challenges due to the "curse of dimensionality'', making computations intensive. Dimension reduction techniques, categorized as linear or non-linear, simplify such data. Non-linear methods are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Praveen T. W. Hettige , Benjamin W. Ong

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

Lagrangian data assimilation exploits the trajectories of moving tracers as observations to recover the underlying flow field. One major challenge in Lagrangian data assimilation is the intrinsic nonlinearity that impedes using exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu

Data assimilation is often viewed as a framework for correcting short-term error growth in dynamical climate model forecasts. When viewed on the time scales of climate however, these short-term corrections, or analysis increments, can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-02 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Alistair Adcroft , Yongfei Zhang , Laure Zanna

A closure model is presented for large-eddy simulation (LES) based on the three-dimensional variational data assimilation algorithm. The approach aims at reconstructing high-fidelity kinetic energy spectra in coarse numerical simulations by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-02 Sagy Ephrati , Arnout Franken , Erwin Luesink , Paolo Cifani , Bernard Geurts

Data assimilation aims to estimate the states of a dynamical system by optimally combining sparse and noisy observations of the physical system with uncertain forecasts produced by a computational model. The states of many dynamical systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Andrey A. Popov , Reid J. Gomillion , Adrian Sandu

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is a method that continuously integrates observational data into a dynamical system to improve model accuracy in real-time. The AOT algorithm is one of the most widely used methods in CDA due to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Ning Ning , Collin Victor

Data assimilation (DA) estimates a dynamical system's state from noisy observations. Recent generative models like the ensemble score filter (EnSF) improve DA in high-dimensional nonlinear settings but are computationally expensive. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Taos Transue , Bohan Chen , So Takao , Bao Wang

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

One-dimensional integrable and quasi-integrable systems display, on macroscopic scales, a universal form of transport known as Generalized Hydrodynamics (GHD). In its standard Euler-scale formulation, GHD mirrors the equations of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-23 Andrew Urilyon , Leonardo Biagetti , Jitendra Kethepalli , Jacopo De Nardis

This paper shows how continuous data assimilation (CDA) can be used to provably enable and accelerate convergence of a (efficient at each iteration due to a physics-splitting, but generally slowly converging and not robust) nonlinear solver…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Victoria Luongo Fisher , Jessica C. Franklin , Leo G. Rebholz

Shape-morphing solutions (also known as evolutional deep neural networks, reduced-order nonlinear solutions, and neural Galerkin schemes) are a new class of methods for approximating the solution of time-dependent partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Zachary T. Hilliard , Mohammad Farazmand

Hydroclimatic processes are characterized by heterogeneous spatiotemporal correlation structures and marginal distributions that can be continuous, mixed-type, discrete or even binary. Simulating exactly such processes can greatly improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Simon Michael Papalexiou

We study a continuous data assimilation (CDA) algorithm for a velocity-vorticity formulation of the 2D Navier-Stokes equations in two cases: nudging applied to the velocity and vorticity, and nudging applied to the velocity only. We prove…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Matthew Gardner , Adam Larios , Leo G. Rebholz , Duygu Vargun , Camille Zerfas

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil