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We study discrete-time predictable forward processes when trading times do not coincide with performance evaluation times in a binomial tree model for the financial market. The key step in the construction of these processes is to solve a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

Deterministic databases enable scalable replicated systems by executing transactions in a predetermined order. However, existing designs fail to capture transaction dependencies, leading to insufficient scheduling, high abort rates, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Junfang Huang , Yu Yan , Hongzhi Wang , Yingze Li , Jinghan Lin

Decision mining enables the discovery of decision rules from event logs or streams, and constitutes an important part of in-depth analysis and optimisation of business processes. So far, decision mining has been merely applied in an ex-post…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Beate Scheibel , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

When faced with the task of forecasting a dynamic system, practitioners often have available historical data, knowledge of the system, or a combination of both. While intuition dictates that perfect knowledge of the system should in theory…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-18 Luke Bornn , Marian Anghel , Ingo Steinwart

In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Arief Koesdwiady , Fakhri Karray

Leveraging concepts from state machine refinement proofs, we use prophecy variables, which predict information about the future program execution, to enable forward reasoning for backward dataflow analyses. Drawing prophecy and history…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Martin Rinard , Austin Gadient

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Predictive process monitoring enables organizations to proactively react and intervene in running instances of a business process. Given an incomplete process instance, predictions about the outcome, next activity, or remaining time are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Martin Käppel , Julian Neuberger , Felix Möhrlein , Sven Weinzierl , Martin Matzner , Stefan Jablonski

The collaborative efforts of large communities in science experiments, often comprising thousands of global members, reflect a monumental commitment to exploration and discovery. Recently, advanced and complex data processing has gained…

Causal reasoning is essential for business process interventions and improvement, requiring a clear understanding of causal relationships among activity execution times in an event log. Recent work introduced a method for discovering causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Yuval David , Fabiana Fournier , Lior Limonad , Inna Skarbovsky

Business Process Management (BPM) is the discipline which is responsible for management of discovering, analyzing, redesigning, monitoring, and controlling business processes. One of the most crucial tasks of BPM is discovering and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Ngoc Phuoc An Vo , Irene Manotas , Octavian Popescu , Algimantas Cerniauskas , Vadim Sheinin

Action anticipation and forecasting in videos do not require a hat-trick, as far as there are signs in the context to foresee how actions are going to be deployed. Capturing these signs is hard because the context includes the past. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Fiora Pirri , Lorenzo Mauro , Edoardo Alati , Valsamis Ntouskos , Mahdieh Izadpanahkakhk , Elham Omrani

Object-centric predictive process monitoring explores and utilizes object-centric event logs to enhance process predictions. The main challenge lies in extracting relevant information and building effective models. In this paper, we propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Wissam Gherissi , Mehdi Acheli , Joyce El Haddad , Daniela Grigori

Accurate prediction of application performance is critical for enabling effective scheduling and resource management in resource-constrained dynamic edge environments. However, achieving predictable performance in such environments remains…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Panagiotis Giannakopoulos , Bart van Knippenberg , Kishor Chandra Joshi , Nicola Calabretta , George Exarchakos

This paper addresses the following problem: Given a process model and an event log containing trace prefixes of ongoing cases of a process, map each case to its corresponding state (i.e., marking) in the model. This state computation…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-19 David Chapela-Campa , Marlon Dumas

Event prediction is the ability of anticipating future events, i.e., future real-world occurrences, and aims to support the user in deciding on actions that change future events towards a desired state. An event prediction method learns the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Janik-Vasily Benzin , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

Traditionally, research in Business Process Management has put a strong focus on centralized and intra-organizational processes. However, today's business processes are increasingly distributed, deviating from a centralized layout, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Michael Borkowski , Walid Fdhila , Matteo Nardelli , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma , Stefan Schulte

We address the problem of predicting whether sufficient memory and CPU resources have been requested for jobs at submission time. For this purpose, we examine the task of training a supervised machine learning system to predict the outcome…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Dan Andresen , William Hsu , Huichen Yang , Adedolapo Okanlawon

Context: Utilization of operating theaters is a major cost driver in hospitals. Optimizing this variable through optimized surgery schedules may significantly lower cost and simultaneously improve medical outcomes. Previous studies proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-05 Harald Störrle , Anastasia Hort

Predictive process monitoring has recently gained traction in academia and is maturing also in companies. However, with the growing body of research, it might be daunting for companies to navigate in this domain in order to find, provided…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Fredrik Milani
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