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The key task of physical simulation is to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) on discretized domains, which is known to be costly. In particular, high-fidelity solutions are much more expensive than low-fidelity ones. To reduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Zheng Wang , Wei Xing , Robert Kirby , Shandian Zhe

This paper is concerned with a state-space approach to deep Gaussian process (DGP) regression. We construct the DGP by hierarchically putting transformed Gaussian process (GP) priors on the length scales and magnitudes of the next level of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-24 Zheng Zhao , Muhammad Emzir , Simo Särkkä

Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

An exciting branch of machine learning research focuses on methods for learning, optimizing, and integrating unknown functions that are difficult or costly to evaluate. A popular Bayesian approach to this problem uses a Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-02 Anqi Wu , Mikio C. Aoi , Jonathan W. Pillow

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a Bayesian non-parametric alternative to standard parametric deep learning models. A DGP is formed by stacking multiple GPs resulting in a well-regularized composition of functions. The Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-06 Vinayak Kumar , Vaibhav Singh , P. K. Srijith , Andreas Damianou

The fusion of experimental automation and machine learning has catalyzed a new era in materials research, prominently featuring Gaussian Process Bayesian Optimization (GPBO) driven autonomous experiments navigating complex experimental…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-05-28 Sumner B. Harris , Rama Vasudevan , Yongtao Liu

We develop deep Poisson-gamma dynamical systems (DPGDS) to model sequentially observed multivariate count data, improving previously proposed models by not only mining deep hierarchical latent structure from the data, but also capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Dandan Guo , Bo Chen , Hao Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

Maximizing high-dimensional, non-convex functions through noisy observations is a notoriously hard problem, but one that arises in many applications. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by modeling the unknown function as a sample from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Bo Chen , Rui Castro , Andreas Krause

Machine learning algorithms frequently require careful tuning of model hyperparameters, regularization terms, and optimization parameters. Unfortunately, this tuning is often a "black art" that requires expert experience, unwritten rules of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-30 Jasper Snoek , Hugo Larochelle , Ryan P. Adams

Future advancement of engineering applications is dependent on design of novel materials with desired properties. Enormous size of known chemical space necessitates use of automated high throughput screening to search the desired material.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Saket Mishra , Piyush Tagade

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Dynamic pricing is the practice of adjusting the selling price of a product to maximize a firm's revenue by responding to market demand. The literature typically distinguishes between two settings: infinite inventory, where the firm has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Anush Anand , Pranav Agrawal , Tejas Bodas

Conventional meta-atom designs rely heavily on researchers' prior knowledge and trial-and-error searches using full-wave simulations, resulting in time-consuming and inefficient processes. Inverse design methods based on optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Zezhou Zhang , Chuanchuan Yang , Yifeng Qin , Hao Feng , Jiqiang Feng , Hongbin Li

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

The optimization of atomic structures plays a pivotal role in understanding and designing materials with desired properties. However, conventional computational methods often struggle with the formidable task of navigating the vast…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-19 Peder Lyngby , Casper Larsen , Karsten Wedel Jacobsen

Understanding the structure of our universe and the distribution of matter is an area of active research. As cosmological surveys grow in complexity, the development of emulators to efficiently and effectively predict matter power spectra…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-28 Stephen A. Walsh , Annie S. Booth , David Higdon , Jared Clark , Kelly R. Moran , Katrin Heitmann

Bayesian optimisation is a popular, surrogate model-based approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. Given a surrogate model, the next location to expensively evaluate is chosen via maximisation of a cheap-to-query acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 George De Ath , Richard M. Everson , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Alma A. M. Rahat

Modern scientific problems are often multi-disciplinary and require integration of computer models from different disciplines, each with distinct functional complexities, programming environments, and computation times. Linked Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-05 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

Reliable uncertainty estimates are crucial in modern machine learning. Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) and Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) extend GPs hierarchically, offering promising methods for uncertainty quantification grounded in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Matthijs van der Lende , Jeremias Lino Ferrao , Niclas Müller-Hof

In this paper we introduce a novel model for Gaussian process (GP) regression in the fully Bayesian setting. Motivated by the ideas of sparsification, localization and Bayesian additive modeling, our model is built around a recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hengrui Luo , Giovanni Nattino , Matthew T. Pratola