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Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

Autonomous landing of UAVs in high sea states requires the UAV to land exclusively during the ship deck's "rest period," coinciding with minimal movement. Given this scenario, determining the ship's "rest period" based on its movement…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Feifan Yu , Wenyuan Cong , Xinmin Chen , Yue Lin , Jiqiang Wang

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

We analyse and compare various empirical models of wall pressure spectra beneath turbulent boundary layers and propose an alternative machine learning approach using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The analysis and the training of the ANN…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-14 J. Dominique , J. Van den Berghe , C. Schram , M. A. Mendez

We consider the task of classifying trajectories of boat activities as a proxy for assessing maritime threats. Previous approaches have considered entropy-based metrics for clustering boat activity into three broad categories: random walk,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Dhanush Tella , Chandra Teja Tiriveedhi , Naphtali Rishe , Dan E. Tamir , Jonathan I. Tamir

This paper presents two algorithms for calculating an ensemble of solutions to laminar natural convection problems. The ensemble average is the most likely temperature distribution and its variance gives an estimate of prediction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Joseph A. Fiordilino , Sarah Khankan

Since the weather is chaotic, forecasts aim to predict the distribution of future states rather than make a single prediction. Recently, multiple data driven weather models have emerged claiming breakthroughs in skill. However, these have…

Poor air quality can have a significant impact on human health. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) air quality forecasting guidance is challenged by the increasing presence of extreme air quality events due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Sophia Hamer , Jennifer Sleeman , Ivanka Stajner

News recommendation is crucial for facilitating individuals' access to articles, particularly amid the increasingly digital landscape of news consumption. Consequently, extensive research is dedicated to News Recommender Systems (NRS) with…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Alexander Gray , Noorhan Abbas

Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

Customer churn, the discontinuation of services by existing customers, poses a significant challenge to the telecommunications industry. This paper proposes a novel adaptive ensemble learning framework for highly accurate customer churn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Mohammed Affan Shaikhsurab , Pramod Magadum

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are increasingly being used to automate segmentation of organs-at-risk in radiotherapy. Since large sets of highly curated data are scarce, we investigated how much data is required to train accurate and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Edward G. A. Henderson , Marcel van Herk , Eliana M. Vasquez Osorio

The mapping of ocean floor layers is a current challenge for the oil industry. Existing solution methods involve mapping through seismic methods and wave inversion, which are complex and computationally expensive. The introduction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Guilherme G. D. Fernandes , Vitor S. P. P. Oliveira , João P. I. Astolfo

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

This paper proposes a machine learning method based on the Extra Trees (ET) algorithm for forecasting Significant Wave Heights in oceanic waters. To derive multiple features from the CDIP buoys, which make point measurements, we first…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-15 Pujan Pokhrel

This paper presents the comparison of various neural networks and algorithms based on accuracy, quickness, and consistency for antenna modelling. Using MATLAB Nntool, 22 different combinations of networks and training algorithms are used to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Yuvraj Singh Malhi , Navneet Gupta

Long-term climate projections require running global Earth system models on timescales of hundreds of years and have relatively coarse resolution (from 40 to 160 km in the horizontal) due to their high computational costs. Unresolved…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-17 Lorenzo Pastori , Arthur Grundner , Veronika Eyring , Mierk Schwabe

Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems presently use up to 100 members, larger ensembles could enrich…

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models often underperform compared to simpler climatology-based precipitation forecasts in northern tropical Africa, even after statistical postprocessing. AI-based forecasting models show promise but have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Athul Rasheeda Satheesh , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink