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Given the continuous increase in dataset sizes and the complexity of forecasting models, the trade-off between forecast accuracy and computational cost is emerging as an extremely relevant topic, especially in the context of ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Marco Zanotti

Microgrids are integrated systems that gather and operate energy production units to satisfy consumers demands. This paper details different mathematical methods to design the Energy Management System (EMS) of domestic microgrids. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-22 François Pacaud , Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Michel De Lara

This paper presents a novel extended dynamic programming approach for energy minimization (EDP) to solve the correspondence problem for stereo and motion. A significant speedup is achieved using a recursive minimum search strategy (RMS).…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-10-30 Mikhail G. Mozerov

Slice Sampling has emerged as a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm that adapts to the characteristics of the target distribution with minimal hand-tuning. However, Slice Sampling's performance is highly sensitive to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

We introduce a novel approach for comparing out-of-sample multi-step forecasts obtained from a pair of nested models that is based on the forecast encompassing principle. Our proposed approach relies on an alternative way of testing the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-27 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future outcomes of ongoing business processes. However, existing methods often lack flexibility to handle real-world challenges such as simultaneous events, class imbalance, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Fang Wang , Paolo Ceravolo , Ernesto Damiani

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for supply chain optimization, yet remains difficult in practice due to hierarchical complexity, domain shifts, and evolving external factors. While recent foundation models offer strong potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Wei Yang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu

This paper demonstrates the potentials of the long short-term memory (LSTM) when applyingwith macroeconomic time series data sampled at different frequencies. We first present how theconventional LSTM model can be adapted to the time series…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-29 Sarun Kamolthip

Ensemble forecasting is a technique devised to palliate sensitivity to initial conditions in nonlinear dynamical systems. The basic idea to avoid this sensitivity is to run the model many times under several slightly-different initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 F J Tapiador , R Verdejo

Master Data Management (MDM) ensures data integrity, consistency, and reliability across an organization's systems. I introduce a novel complex match and merge algorithm optimized for real-time MDM solutions. The proposed method accurately…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Durai Rajamanickam

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

Large Language Models (LLMs) power numerous AI applications, yet updating their knowledge remains costly. Model editing provides a lightweight alternative through targeted parameter modifications, with meta-learning-based model editing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Xiaopeng Li , Shasha Li , Xi Wang , Shezheng Song , Bin Ji , Shangwen Wang , Jun Ma , Xiaodong Liu , Mina Liu , Jie Yu

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Abrar Majeedi , Viswanatha Reddy Gajjala , Satya Sai Srinath Namburi GNVV , Nada Magdi Elkordi , Yin Li

While numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are essential for forecasting thunderstorms hours in advance, NWP uncertainty, which increases with lead time, limits the predictability of thunderstorm occurrence. This study investigates how…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-20 Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia , Tobias Bölle , Christoph Metzl

Model-based methods in reinforcement learning offer a promising approach to enhance data efficiency by facilitating policy exploration within a dynamics model. However, accurately predicting sequential steps in the dynamics model remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Haoxin Lin , Yu-Yan Xu , Yihao Sun , Zhilong Zhang , Yi-Chen Li , Chengxing Jia , Junyin Ye , Jiaji Zhang , Yang Yu