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Related papers: In-between Transatlantic (Monetary) Disturbances

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This paper examines the monetary policies the Federal Reserve implemented in response to the Global Financial Crisis. More specifically, it analyzes the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE) programs, liquidity facilities, and forward…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-23 Arnaud Cedric Kamkoum

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis the role of strongly interconnected markets in fostering systemic instability has been increasingly acknowledged. Trade networks of commodities are susceptible to deleterious cascades of supply…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-15 Peter Klimek , Michael Obersteiner , Stefan Thurner

Using a modified damped harmonic oscillator model equivalent to a model of market dynamics with price expectations, we analyze the reaction of financial markets to shocks. In order to do this, we gather data from indices of a variety of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-27 Leonidas Sandoval Junior , Italo De Paula Franca

We extend in a minimal way the stylized model introduced in in "Tipping Points in Macroeconomic Agent Based Models" [JEDC 50, 29-61 (2015)], with the aim of investigating the role and efficacy of monetary policy of a `Central Bank' that…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-20 Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Fiat-pegged stablecoins are by nature exposed to spillover effects during market turmoil in Traditional Finance (TradFi). We observe a difference in TradFi market shocks impact between various stablecoins, in particular, USD Coin (USDC) and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-17 Walter Hernandez Cruz , Jiahua Xu , Paolo Tasca , Carlo Campajola

We show that fluctuations in the ratio of non-core to core funding in the banking systems of advanced economies are largely driven by three global factors of both real and financial natures, with country-specific factors playing only a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-04 Luís A. V. Catão , Jan Ditzen , Daniel Marcel te Kaat

Macroeconomists increasingly use external sources of exogenous variation for causal inference. However, unless such external instruments (proxies) capture the underlying shock without measurement error, existing methods are silent on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Mikkel Plagborg-Møller , Christian K. Wolf

The dynamical behavior of the currency exchange rate after its large-scale catastrophe is discussed through a case study of the rate of Russian rubles to US dollars after its crash in 2014. It is shown that, similarly to the case of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-16 Vasilya Usmanova , Yury V. Lysogorskiy , Sumiyoshi Abe

In this empirical paper we show that in the months following a crash there is a distinct connection between the fall of stock prices and the increase in the range of interest rates for a sample of bonds. This variable, which is often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 B. M. Roehner

This study investigates the impact of increased debt servicing costs on household consumption resulting from monetary policy tightening. It utilizes observational panel microdata on all mortgage holders in Israel and leverages…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-04 Itamar Caspi , Nadav Eshel , Nimrod Segev

I show that house prices can be modeled using machine learning (kNN and tree-bagging) and a small dataset composed of macro-economic factors (MEF), including an inflation metric (CPI), US treasury rates (10-yr), Gross Domestic Product…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-16 Nicolas Houlié

Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Katerina Rigana , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit , Samantha Cook

In the search for political-economic tools for greenhouse gas mitigation, carbon pricing, which includes carbon tax and cap-and-trade, is implemented by many governments. However, the inflating food prices in carbon-pricing countries, such…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Jiansong Xu

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

We employ a comprehensive data set and a variety of methods to provide evidence on the magnitude of large banks' funding advantage in Canada in addition to the extent to which market discipline exists across different securities issued by…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Mehdi Beyhaghi , Chris D'Souza , Gordon S. Roberts

We develop a model in which country-specific tariffs shape trade flows, prices, and welfare in a global economy with one homogeneous good. Trade flows form a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), and tariffs influence not only market outcomes but…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Paolo Pin

This paper expands on stochastic volatility models by proposing a data-driven method to select the macroeconomic events most likely to impact volatility. The paper identifies and quantifies the effects of macroeconomic events across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Igor Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

The aim of this paper is to dig deeper into understanding the exchange rates and uncertainty dependence. Using the novel Baker et al. (2020)'s daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates, we investigate their extreme tail…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-10 Nourhaine Nefzi , Abir Abid

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz