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The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

We present a new approach to learning the structure and parameters of a Bayesian network based on regularized estimation in an exponential family representation. Here we show that, given a fixed variable order, the optimal structure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yuhong Guo , Dale Schuurmans

Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs) possess a number of properties desirable for a modern classifier: They are easily interpretable, highly scalable, and offer adaptable complexity. However, traditional methods for learning BNCs have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Connor Cooper , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt

Directed acyclic graphical models (DAGs) are often used to describe common structural properties in a family of probability distributions. This paper addresses the question of classifying DAGs up to an isomorphism. By considering Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-24 Hajir Roozbehani , Yury Polyanskiy

The feed-forward relationship naturally observed in time-dependent processes and in a diverse number of real systems -such as some food-webs and electronic and neural wiring- can be described in terms of so-called directed acyclic graphs…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Joaquín Goñi , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Ricard V. Solé , Carlos Rodríguez-Caso

We consider the task of estimating a high-dimensional directed acyclic graph, given observations from a linear structural equation model with arbitrary noise distribution. By exploiting properties of common random graphs, we develop a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-30 Arjun Sondhi , Ali Shojaie

We study the problem of finite-horizon probabilistic invariance for discrete-time Markov processes over general (uncountable) state spaces. We compute discrete-time, finite-state Markov chains as formal abstractions of general Markov…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-03 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate , Rupak Majumdar

Sensitivity methods for the analysis of the outputs of discrete Bayesian networks have been extensively studied and implemented in different software packages. These methods usually focus on the study of sensitivity functions and on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Manuele Leonelli , Christiane Görgen , Jim Q. Smith

Recent advances in deep learning have led to a paradigm shift in the field of reversible steganography. A fundamental pillar of reversible steganography is predictive modelling which can be realised via deep neural networks. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Ching-Chun Chang

We present and implement two algorithms for analytic asymptotic evaluation of the marginal likelihood of data given a Bayesian network with hidden nodes. As shown by previous work, this evaluation is particularly hard for latent Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Dmitry Rusakov , Dan Geiger

We extend Probability Bracket Notation (PBN), inspired by the Dirac notation in quantum mechanics, to multivariable probability systems and static Bayesian networks (BNs). By defining probability distributions and conditional expectations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xing M. Wang

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

This paper describes a new library for learning Bayesian networks from data containing discrete and continuous variables (mixed data). In addition to the classical learning methods on discretized data, this library proposes its algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Anna V. Bubnova , Irina Deeva , Anna V. Kalyuzhnaya

This paper deals with differentiable dynamical models congruent with neural process theories that cast brain function as the hierarchical refinement of an internal generative model explaining observations. Our work extends existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 André Ofner , Sebastian Stober

In this work, we demonstrate the Empirical Bayes approach to learning a Dynamic Bayesian Network. By starting with several point estimates of structure and weights, we can use a data-driven prior to subsequently obtain a model to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Apaar , Aarya Khandelwal , Parth Sandeep Rastogi , Bapi Chatterjee , Jakub Mareček

Variational autoencoders and Helmholtz machines use a recognition network (encoder) to approximate the posterior distribution of a generative model (decoder). In this paper we study the necessary and sufficient properties of a recognition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Jesse van Oostrum , Peter van Hintum , Nihat Ay

Understanding the causal relationships between data variables can provide crucial insights into the construction of tabular datasets. Most existing causality learning methods typically focus on applying a single identifiable causal model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Hristo Petkov , Calum MacLellan , Feng Dong

A major problem for the learning of Bayesian networks (BNs) is the exponential number of parameters needed for conditional probability tables. Recent research reduces this complexity by modeling local structure in the probability tables. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Julian R. Neil , Chris S. Wallace , Kevin B. Korb

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

Driven by the critical needs of biomanufacturing 4.0, we introduce a probabilistic knowledge graph hybrid model characterizing the risk- and science-based understanding of bioprocess mechanisms. It can faithfully capture the important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Wei Xie , Keqi Wang , Hua Zheng , Ben Feng
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