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The analysis of parametric and non-parametric uncertainties of very large dynamical systems requires the construction of a stochastic model of said system. Linear approaches relying on random matrix theory and principal componant analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Hamza Boukraichi , Nissrine Akkari , Fabien Casenave , David Ryckelynck

Neural networks have become a powerful tool as surrogate models to provide numerical solutions for scientific problems with increased computational efficiency. This efficiency can be advantageous for numerically challenging problems where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Pelin Ersin , Emma Hayes , Peter Matthews , Paramjyoti Mohapatra , Elisa Negrini , Karl Schulz

In recent years, computational power and data availability breakthroughs have revolutionized our ability to analyze complex physical systems through the inverse problem approach. Data-driven techniques like system identification and machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Ishan Paranjape , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

This study demonstrates the feasibility of developing machine learning (ML) surrogates based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for predicting the unsteady aeroelastic response of transonic pitching and plunging wing-fuel tank sloshing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Shashank Srivastava , Murali Damodaran , Boo Cheong Khoo

Surrogate models driven by sizeable datasets and scientific machine-learning methods have emerged as an attractive microstructure simulation tool with the potential to deliver predictive microstructure evolution dynamics with huge savings…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-01-22 Shaoxun Fan , Andrew L. Hitt , Ming Tang , Babak Sadigh , Fei Zhou

We propose and demonstrate a new approach for fast and accurate surrogate modelling of urban drainage system hydraulics based on physics-guided machine learning. The surrogates are trained against a limited set of simulation results from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Rocco Palmitessa , Morten Grum , Allan Peter Engsig-Karup , Roland Löwe

In many cutting-edge applications, high-fidelity computational models prove to be too slow for practical use and are therefore replaced by much faster surrogate models. Recently, deep learning techniques have increasingly been utilized to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Saurabh Deshpande , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

Recent advances in autoregressive neural surrogate models have enabled orders-of-magnitude speedups in simulating dynamical systems. However, autoregressive models are generally prone to distribution drift: compounding errors in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Qi Liu , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

Active multi-fidelity surrogate modeling is developed for multi-condition airfoil shape optimization to reduce high-fidelity CFD cost while retaining RANS-level accuracy. The framework couples a low-fidelity-informed Gaussian process…

In this study, we present a method to create a robust inverse surrogate model for a soft X-ray spectrometer. During a beamtime at an electron storage ring, such as BESSY II, instrumentation and beamlines are required to be correctly aligned…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-02-26 Enrico Ahlers , Peter Feuer-Forson , Gregor Hartmann , Rolf Mitzner , Peter Baumgärtel , Jens Viefhaus

In this work, we propose a set of physics-informed geometric operators (GOs) to enrich the geometric data provided for training surrogate/discriminative models, dimension reduction, and generative models, typically employed for performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Shahroz Khan , Zahid Masood , Muhammad Usama , Konstantinos Kostas , Panagiotis Kaklis , Wei , Chen

Real-time monitoring of inverter-based microgrids is essential for stability, fault response, and operational decision-making. However, electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulations, required to capture fast inverter dynamics, are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Osasumwen Cedric Ogiesoba-Eguakun , Kaveh Ashenayi , Suman Rath

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant uncertainty in power system operations, making traditional deterministic unit commitment approaches computationally expensive. This paper presents a machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian , Mort Naraghi-Pour

Accurate and scalable surrogate models for AC power flow are essential for real-time grid monitoring, contingency analysis, and decision support in increasingly dynamic and inverter-dominated power systems. However, most existing surrogates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-04 Shrenik Jadhav , Birva Sevak , Srijita Das , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

Existing model validation studies in geoscience often disregard or partly account for uncertainties in observations, model choices, and input parameters. In this work, we develop a statistical framework that incorporates a probabilistic…

We propose a novel method for gradient-based optimization of black-box simulators using differentiable local surrogate models. In fields such as physics and engineering, many processes are modeled with non-differentiable simulators with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Sergey Shirobokov , Vladislav Belavin , Michael Kagan , Andrey Ustyuzhanin , Atılım Güneş Baydin

Uncertainty estimations are presented of the response of a multiscale in-stent restenosis model, as obtained by both non-intrusive and semi-intrusive uncertainty quantification. The in-stent restenosis model is a fully coupled multiscale…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-11 Dongwei Ye , Anna Nikishova , Lourens Veen , Pavel Zun , Alfons G. Hoekstra

The complex and computationally expensive nature of landscape evolution models pose significant challenges in the inference and optimisation of unknown parameters. Bayesian inference provides a methodology for estimation and uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , Arpit Kapoor , R. Dietmar Müller

This paper introduces a comprehensive open-source framework for developing correlation kernels, with a particular focus on user-defined and composition of kernels for surrogate modeling. By advancing kernel-based modeling techniques, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Nicolas Gonel , Paul Saves , Joseph Morlier
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