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Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

In this paper we propose and solve an optimal dividend problem with capital injections over a finite time horizon. The surplus dynamics obeys a linearly controlled drifted Brownian motion that is reflected at the origin, dividends give rise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-22 Giorgio Ferrari , Patrick Schuhmann

This paper is devoted to solving a time-inconsistent risk-sensitive control problem with parameter $\e$ and its limit case ($\e\rightarrow0^+$) for countable-stated Markov decision processes (MDPs for short). Since the cost functional is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-22 Hongwei Mei

This paper presents a method to approximately solve stochastic optimal control problems in which the cost function and the system dynamics are polynomial. For stochastic systems with polynomial dynamics, the moments of the state can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

We are interested in risk constraints for infinite horizon discrete time Markov decision processes (MDPs). Starting with average reward MDPs, we show that increasing concave stochastic dominance constraints on the empirical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-06-21 William B. Haskell , Rahul Jain

This paper studies a dynamic optimal reinsurance and dividend-payout problem for an insurance company in a finite time horizon. The goal of the company is to maximize the expected cumulative discounted dividend payouts until bankruptcy or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-28 Chonghu Guan , Zuo Quan Xu , Rui Zhou

A problem of optimal debt management is modeled as a noncooperative game between a borrower and a pool of lenders, in infinite time horizon with exponential discount. The yearly income of the borrower is governed by a stochastic process.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Alberto Bressan , Antonio Marigonda , Khai T. Nguyen , Michele Palladino

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

Motivated by applications where impatience is pervasive and evaluation times are uncertain, we study a selection model where options may expire at an unknown point in time and evaluation times are stochastic. Initially, the decision-maker…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Yihua Xu , Rohan Ghuge , Sebastian Perez-Salazar

We investigate an optimal reinsurance problem for an insurance company facing a constant fixed cost when the reinsurance contract is signed. The insurer needs to optimally choose both the starting time of the reinsurance contract and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-14 Matteo Brachetta , Claudia Ceci

Money-back guarantees (MBGs) are features of pooled retirement income products that address bequest concerns by ensuring the initial premium is returned through lifetime payments or, upon early death, as a death benefit to the estate. This…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 German Nova Orozco , Duy-Minh Dang , Peter A. Forsyth

We study the problem of synthesizing a policy that maximizes the entropy of a Markov decision process (MDP) subject to a temporal logic constraint. Such a policy minimizes the predictability of the paths it generates, or dually, maximizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Yagiz Savas , Melkior Ornik , Murat Cubuktepe , Mustafa O. Karabag , Ufuk Topcu

We study the optimal investment problem for a homogeneous collective of $n$ individuals investing in a Black-Scholes model subject to longevity risk with Epstein--Zin preferences. %and with preferences given by power utility. We compute…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-25 John Armstrong , Cristin Buescu , James Dalby

We describe the solution of an optimal stopping problem for a stable L\'evy process killed at state-dependent rate, which can be seen as a model for bankruptcy. The killing rate is chosen in such a way that the killed process remains…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-29 K. van Schaik , A. R. Watson , X. Xu

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

This paper studies an optimal control problem for continuous-time stochastic systems subject to reachability objectives specified in a subclass of metric interval temporal logic specifications, a temporal logic with real-time constraints.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

This work deals with an optimal asset allocation problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan during its accumulation phase. The contribution rate is proportional to the individual's salary, the dynamics of which follows a Heston…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Xiaoyi Zhang , Linlin Tian

We consider an investor who is dynamically informed about the future evolution of one of the independent Brownian motions driving a stock's price fluctuations. With linear temporary price impact the resulting optimal investment problem with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-13 Peter Bank , Yan Dolinsky