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The challenge of optimal design of experiments (DOE) pervades materials science, physics, chemistry, and biology. Bayesian optimization has been used to address this challenge in vast sample spaces, although it requires framing experimental…

In this paper we propose a flexible nested error regression small area model with high dimensional parameter that incorporates heterogeneity in regression coefficients and variance components. We develop a new robust small area specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

In this paper, we focus on the model specification problem in multivariate spatial econometric models when a candidate set for the spatial weights matrix is available. We propose a model selection method for the multivariate spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Xin Miao , Fang Fang , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

Gradient matching is a promising tool for learning parameters and state dynamics of ordinary differential equations. It is a grid free inference approach, which, for fully observable systems is at times competitive with numerical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-11 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann

In machine learning and data mining, linear models have been widely used to model the response as parametric linear functions of the predictors. To relax such stringent assumptions made by parametric linear models, additive models consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-18 Sheng Chen , Arindam Banerjee

Dimension reduction provides a useful tool for analyzing high dimensional data. The recently developed \textit{Envelope} method is a parsimonious version of the classical multivariate regression model through identifying a minimal reducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee , Qin Wang , Zahra Naji , Montserrat Fuentes

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

This paper develops a general method of inference for fixed effects models which is (i) automatic, (ii) computationally inexpensive, (iii) tuning parameter-free, and (iv) highly model agnostic. Specifically, we show how to combine a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-23 Ayden Higgins

Dimension reduction is often the first step in statistical modeling or prediction of multivariate spatial data. However, most existing dimension reduction techniques do not account for the spatial correlation between observations and do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Si Cheng , Magali N. Blanco , Timothy V. Larson , Lianne Sheppard , Adam Szpiro , Ali Shojaie

Low-cost air pollution sensors, offering hyper-local characterization of pollutant concentrations, are becoming increasingly prevalent in environmental and public health research. However, low-cost air pollution data can be noisy, biased by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-21 Claire Heffernan , Roger Peng , Drew R. Gentner , Kirsten Koehler , Abhirup Datta

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

A rapid growth in spatial open datasets has led to a huge demand for regression approaches accommodating spatial and non-spatial effects in big data. Regression model selection is particularly important to stably estimate flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-02 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

Spatial confounding is how is called the confounding between fixed and spatial random effects. It has been widely studied and it gained attention in the past years in the spatial statistics literature, as it may generate unexpected results…

Estimating environmental exposures from multi-source data is central to public health research and policy. Integrating data from satellite products and ground monitors are increasingly used to produce exposure surfaces. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Yovna Junglee , Vianey Leos Barajas , Meredith Franklin

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Deep learning-based multivariate and multistep-ahead traffic forecasting models are typically trained with the mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE) as the loss function in a sequence-to-sequence setting, simply assuming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Seongjin Choi , Nicolas Saunier , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

The proposed two-dimensional geometrically exact beam element extends our previous work by including the effects of shear distortion, and also of distributed forces and moments acting along the beam. The general flexibility-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Milan Jirasek , Martin Horak , Emma La Malfa Ribolla , Chiara Bonvissuto

In Earth sciences, unobserved factors exhibit non-stationary spatial distributions, causing the relationships between features and targets to display spatial heterogeneity. In geographic machine learning tasks, conventional statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Siqi Du , Hongsheng Huang , Kaixin Shen , Ziqi Liu , Shengjun Tang