Related papers: Strassen's theorem for biased convex order
We study the martingale property and moment explosions of a signature volatility model, where the volatility process of the log-price is given by a linear form of the signature of a time-extended Brownian motion. Excluding trivial cases, we…
We establish the Strassen's law of the iterated logarithm for independent and identically distributed random variables with $\hat{\mathbb{E}}[X_1]=\hat{\mathcal{E}}[X_1]=0$ and $C_{\mathbb{V}}[X_1^2]<\infty$ under sub-linear expectation…
Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…
We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…
Within a path integral formalism for non-Gaussian price fluctuations we set up a simple stochastic calculus and derive a natural martingale for option pricing from the wealth balance of options, stocks, and bonds. The resulting formula is…
In a discrete-time financial market, a generalized duality is established for model-free superhedging, given marginal distributions of the underlying asset. Contrary to prior studies, we do not require contingent claims to be upper…
We show continuity of the martingale optimal transport optimisation problem as a functional of its marginals. This is achieved via an estimate on the projection in the nested/causal Wasserstein distance of an arbitrary coupling on to the…
This paper presents a stochastic model for discrete-time trading in financial markets where trading costs are given by convex cost functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. The model does not assume the existence of a cash…
We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…
Let $s(n)$ denote the number of ones in the binary expansion of a natural number $n\in\mathbb{N}$. For any $t\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d\in\mathbb{Z}$, let $\mu_t(d)$ denote the asymptotic density of the set of those natural numbers $n$ for which…
We prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a discrete time financial market where trading is subject to proportional transaction cost and the asset price dynamic is modeled by a family of probability measures, possibly…
The objective of this paper is to introduce the theory of option pricing for markets with informed traders within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. We introduce new models for option pricing for informed traders in complete…
Motivation for this paper is to understand the impact of information on asset price bubbles and perceived arbitrage opportunities. This boils down to study optional projections of $\mathbb{G}$-adapted strict local martingales into a smaller…
We study some properties of the American option price in the stochastic volatility Heston model. We first prove that, if the payoff function is convex and satisfies some regularity assumptions, then the option value function is increasing…
First, classes of Markov processes that scale exactly with a Hurst exponent H are derived in closed form. A special case of one class is the Tsallis density, advertised elsewhere as nonlinear diffusion or diffusion with nonlinear feedback.…
In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a regular set of measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and…
Option pricing formulas are derived from a non-Gaussian model of stock returns. Fluctuations are assumed to evolve according to a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation which maximizes the Tsallis nonextensive entropy of index $q$. A generalized…
A standing assumption in the literature on proportional transaction costs is efficient friction. Together with robust no free lunch with vanishing risk, it rules out strategies of infinite variation, as they usually appear in frictionless…
Let $L$ be a convex cone of real random variables on the probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},P_0)$. The existence of a probability $P$ on $\mathcal{A}$ such that $$ P \sim P_0,\quad E_P \abs{X}< \infty\, \text{ and } \, E_P(X) \leq 0\,…
Given the marginal distribution information of the underlying asset price at two future times $T_1$ and $T_2$, we consider the problem of determining a model-free upper bound on the price of a class of American options that must be…