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A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable $q$-exponential bounded contingent claims in an incomplete Brownian motion market setting. The buyer evaluates the contingent claim under the ``distorted Radon-Nikodym derivative'' and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 Dejian Tian

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Michael J. Klass , Victor H. de la Pena

The pricing and hedging of a general class of options (including American, Bermudan and European options) on multiple assets are studied in the context of currency markets where trading is subject to proportional transaction costs, and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Alet Roux , Tomasz Zastawniak

We consider the pricing of derivatives in a setting with trading restrictions, but without any probabilistic assumptions on the underlying model, in discrete and continuous time. In particular, we assume that European put or call options…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Alexander M. G. Cox , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-13 Hanno Gottschalk , Elpida Nizami , Marius Schubert

We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. L. McCauley , G. H. Gunaratne , K. E. Bassler

Given two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ in "convex order" on $\R^d$, we study the profile of one-step martingale plans $\pi$ on $\R^d\times \R^d$ that optimize the expected value of the modulus of their increment among all…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

We are concerned with a new type of supermartingale decomposition in the Max-Plus algebra, which essentially consists in expressing any supermartingale of class $(\mathcal{D})$ as a conditional expectation of some running supremum process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Nicole El Karoui , Asma Meziou

The general method is proposed for constructing a family of martingale measures for a wide class of evolution of risky assets. The sufficient conditions are formulated for the evolution of risky assets under which the family of equivalent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 N. S. Gonchar

We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-07 Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

Strassen's Positivstellensatz is a powerful but little known theorem on preordered commutative semirings satisfying a boundedness condition similar to Archimedeanicity. It characterizes the relaxed preorder induced by all monotone…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Tobias Fritz

It is well known that martingale transport plans between marginals $\mu\neq\nu$ are never given by Monge maps -- with the understanding that the map is over the first marginal $\mu$, or forward in time. Here, we change the perspective, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Ruodu Wang , Zhenyuan Zhang

We study martingale inequalities from an analytic point of view and show that a general martingale inequality can be reduced to a pair of deterministic inequalities in a small number of variables. More precisely, the optimal bound in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Mathias Beiglböck , Marcel Nutz

We introduce an algorithm which, given probabilities $\mu \leq_{\text{cx}} \nu$ in convex order and defined on a separable Banach space $B$, constructs finitely-supported approximations $\mu_n \to \mu, \nu_n\to \nu$ which are in convex…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Marco Massa , Pietro Siorpaes

We consider the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) and hedging prices of options under non-dominated model uncertainty and portfolio constrains in discrete time. We first show that no arbitrage holds if and only if there exists…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

We revisit two classical problems: the determination of the law of the underlying with respect to a risk-neutral measure on the basis of option prices, and the pricing of options with convex payoffs in terms of prices of call options with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-14 Carlo Marinelli

While many questions in robust finance can be posed in the martingale optimal transport framework or its weak extension, others like the subreplication price of VIX futures, the robust pricing of American options or the construction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Benjamin Jourdain , Gudmund Pammer