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Poleward water vapor transport in the midlatitudes mainly occurs in meandering filaments of intense water vapor transport, spanning thousands of kilometers long and hundreds of kilometers wide and drifting eastward. The water vapor…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 Hing Ong , Da Yang

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are essential components of the global hydrological cycle, with profound implications for water resources, extreme weather events, and climate dynamics. Yet, the statistical organization and underlying physical…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Shang Wang , Jun Meng , Sheng Fang , Teng Liu , Kim Christensen , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) often cause damaging winds, rainfall, and floods. However, the physical mechanisms governing their evolution remain poorly understood. To close this gap, we perform a global Vapor Kinetic Energy (VKE) budget…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-10 Aidi Zhang , Da Yang , Hing Ong , Zhihong Tan

Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) are filamentary moisture pathways responsible for a large fraction of extreme precipitation and often occur as interacting filament bundles within the same synoptic regime. Existing diagnostics typically analyze ARs…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Diamantis

As a result of their important role in weather and the global hydrological cycle, understanding atmospheric rivers' (ARs) connection to synoptic-scale climate patterns and atmospheric dynamics has become increasingly important. In addition…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-16 Kirsten R. Hall , Huiqun Wang , Amir H. Souri , Xiong Liu , Kelly Chance

We show that filamentous Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) over the Northern Atlantic Ocean are closely linked to attracting Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCSs) in the large scale wind field. LCSs represent lines of attraction in the evolving flow…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-01-06 Daniel Garaboa , Jorge Eiras-Barca , Florian Huhn , Vicente Perez-Muñuzuri

In this paper we present the first results ever obtained by applying the autoregressive (AR) technique to the precipitable water vapour (PWV). The study is performed at the Very Large Telescope. The AR technique has been recently proposed…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-02 A. Turchi , E. Masciadri , P. Pathak , M. Kasper

Robust sensing and perception in adverse weather conditions remain one of the biggest challenges for realizing reliable autonomous vehicle mobility services. Prior work has established that rainfall rate is a useful measure for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-26 Robin Karlsson , David Robert Wong , Kazunari Kawabata , Simon Thompson , Naoki Sakai

Flooding is the most devastating phenomenon occurring globally, particularly in mountainous regions, risk dramatically increases due to complex terrains and extreme climate changes. These situations are damaging livelihoods, agriculture,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haleema Bibi , Sadia Saleem , Zakia Jalil , Muhammad Nasir , Tahani Alsubait

The world ocean plays a key role in redistributing heat in the climate system and hence in regulating Earth's climate. Yet statistical analysis of ocean heat transport suffers from partially incomplete large-scale data intertwined with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Beomjo Park , Mikael Kuusela , Donata Giglio , Alison Gray

Planetary and synoptic scale wave-packets represent one important component of the atmospheric large-scale circulation. These dissipative structures are able to rapidly transport eddy kinetic energy, generated locally (e.g. by baroclinic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-09 Federico Grazzini , Valerio Lucarini

Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall and, consequently, pluvial flooding, leading to increased disruptions in urban transportation systems over the coming decades. Designing effective adaptation strategies is challenging due to…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Accurate estimation of global terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) is essential to understanding changes in the water cycle, which are expected to intensify in the context of climate change. Current global ET products are derived from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-14 Haiyang Shi

Climate change has increased the frequency and severity of extreme weather events such as hurricanes and winter storms. The complex interplay of floods with tides, runoff, and sediment creates additional hazards -- including erosion and the…

Many rare weather events, including hurricanes, droughts, and floods, dramatically impact human life. To accurately forecast these events and characterize their climatology requires specialized mathematical techniques to fully leverage the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Justin Finkel , Dorian Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Due to climate change the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, which contribute to urban flooding, are expected to increase in many places. These floods can damage transport infrastructure and disrupt mobility, highlighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Miguel Costa , Morten W. Petersen , Arthur Vandervoort , Martin Drews , Karyn Morrissey , Francisco C. Pereira

Climate change affects occurrences of floods and droughts worldwide. However, predicting climate impacts over individual watersheds is difficult, primarily because accurate hydrological forecasts require models that are calibrated to past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Johannes Brandstetter , Pieter-Jan Hoedt , Grey Nearing , Sepp Hochreiter

Atmospheric blocking events are quasi-stationary high-pressure systems that disrupt the typical paths of polar and subtropical air currents, often producing prolonged extreme weather events such as summer heat waves or winter cold spells.…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Mingzhe Li , Peer Nowack , Bei Wang
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