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Estimating some mathematical expectations from partially observed data and in particular missing outcomes is a central problem encountered in numerous fields such as transfer learning, counterfactual analysis or causal inference. Matching…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Simon Viel , Lionel Truquet , Ikko Yamane

We consider the conjugate gradient algorithm applied to a general class of spiked sample covariance matrices. The main result of the paper is that the norms of the error and residual vectors at any finite step concentrate on deterministic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Xiucai Ding , Thomas Trogdon

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

A nonparametric variant of the Kiefer--Weiss problem is proposed and investigated. In analogy to the classical Kiefer--Weiss problem, the objective is to minimize the maximum expected sample size of a sequential test. However, instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

We use the jackknife to bias correct the log-periodogram regression(LPR) estimator of the fractional parameter in a stationary fractionally integrated model. The weights for the jackknife estimator are chosen in such a way that bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Kanchana Nadarajah , Gael M Martin , Donald S Poskitt

We investigate the Stochastic Krasnoselskii-Mann iterations for expected nonexpansive fixed-point problems in a real Hilbert space. We establish convergence guarantees under significantly weaker assumptions on the variance than those…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Daniel Cortild , Coralia Cartis

Prediction intervals in supervised Machine Learning bound the region where the true outputs of new samples may fall. They are necessary in the task of separating reliable predictions of a trained model from near random guesses, minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Anton Akusok , Yoan Miche , Kaj-Mikael Björk , Amaury Lendasse

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Recent studies have analyzed whether one forecast method dominates another under a class of consistent scoring functions. While the existing literature focuses on empirical tests of forecast dominance, little is known about the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Fabian Krüger , Johanna F. Ziegel

Log symmetric distributions are useful in modeling data which show high skewness and have found applications in various fields. Using a recent characterization for log symmetric distributions, we propose a goodness of fit test for testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Anjana S , Sudheesh Kattumannil

In this paper, we are basically discussing on a class of Baranchik type shrinkage estimators of the vector parameter in a location model, with errors belonging to a sub-class of elliptically contoured distributions. We derive conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Mohammad Arashi

We develop Gaussian approximations for high-dimensional vectors formed by second-order $U$- and $V$-statistics whose kernels depend on sample size under independent but not identically distributed (i.n.i.d.) sampling. Our results hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Shunsuke Imai

Standard practice obtains an unbiased variance estimator by dividing by $N-1$ rather than $N$. Yet if only half the data are used to compute the mean, dividing by $N$ can still yield an unbiased estimator. We show that an alternative mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Dai Akita

A large degree of overidentification causes severe bias in TSLS. A conventional heuristic rule used to motivate new estimators in this context is approximate bias. This paper formalizes the definition of approximate bias and expands the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-22 Lei Bill Wang

In R\'enyi's representation for exponential order statistics, we replace the iid exponential sequence with any iid sequence, and call the resulting order statistic generalized R\'enyi statistic. We prove that by randomly reordering the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Péter Kevei , László Viharos

We investigate the asymptotic distributions of coordinates of regression M-estimates in the moderate $p/n$ regime, where the number of covariates $p$ grows proportionally with the sample size $n$. Under appropriate regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Lihua Lei , Peter J. Bickel , Noureddine El Karoui

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We consider hypothesis testing in instrumental variable regression models with few included exogenous covariates but many instruments -- possibly more than the number of observations. We show that a ridge-regularised version of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-07 Max-Sebastian Dovì , Anders Bredahl Kock , Sophocles Mavroeidis

In recent years, stochastic dominance for independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables has received considerable attention. The literature has identified several classes of distributions of nonnegative random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Keyi Zeng , Zhenfeng Zou , Yuting Su , Taizhong Hu

Stochastic dominance of a random variable by a convex combination of its independent copies has recently been shown to hold within the relatively narrow class of distributions with concave odds function, and later extended to broader…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Idir Arab , Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira
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