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We investigate the formation of Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in a competing importers framework with $n$ countries. We show that (i) FTA formation causes a negative externality to non-participants, (ii) a non-participant is willing to join an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-01 Akira Okada , Yasuhiro Shirata

The imposition of tariffs by President Trump during his second term had far-reaching consequences for global markets, including Australia. This study investigates how both the announcement and subsequent implementation of these tariffs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Mridul Patel

he evaluation of the impact of actions undertaken is essential in management. This paper assesses the impact of efforts considered to mitigate risk and create safe environments on a global scale. We measure this impact by looking at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Christian Mulomba Mukendi , Hyebong Choi

This paper investigates the time-varying impacts of international macroeconomic uncertainty shocks. We use a global vector autoregressive specification with drifting coefficients and factor stochastic volatility in the errors to model six…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-18 Michael Pfarrhofer

Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

We find that, in the 21st century, democracy has persistent negative impacts on growth in GDP and night-time light intensity. This finding emerges from five different instrumental variable strategies that account for potential invalidity in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-28 Yusuke Narita

Cross-border migration brings economic and cultural impacts to the origin and destination, and is also a key to reflect the international relations of related countries. In fact, the migration relationships of countries are complex and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 Wensha Gou , Siyu Huang , Qinghua Chen , Jiawei Chen , Xiaomeng Li

With a folk understanding that political polarization refers to socio-political divisions within a society, many have proclaimed that we are more divided than ever. In this account, polarization has been blamed for populism, the erosion of…

Post-World War II armed conflicts have often been viewed with higher scrutiny in order to avoid a full-scale global war. This scrutiny has led to the establishment of determinants of war such as poverty, inequalities, literacy, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-04 Shreyansh Padarha

This paper investigates cross-border lending behavior from the Group of Seven (G7) during the 2001-2013 period. We employ gravity model to consider how bilateral factors, global factors, and other determinants of pull factors affect cross…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-18 Hoang-Anh Le , Xuan Vinh Vo

We use the logistic equation to model the dynamics of the GDP and the trade of the six countries with the highest GDP in the world, namely, USA, China, Japan, Germany, UK and India. From the modelling of the economic data, which are made…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-27 Abhin Kakkad , Arnab K. Ray

Tools of the theory of critical phenomena, namely the scaling analysis and universality, are argued to be applicable to large complex web-like network structures. Using a detailed analysis of the real data of the International Trade Network…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 K. Bhattacharya , G. Mukherjee , J. Saramaki , K. Kaski , S. S. Manna

The governance of the political and economic world order builds on a complex architecture of international treaties at various geographical scales. In a historical phase of high institutional turbulence, assessing the stability of such…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-02 Pier Luigi Sacco , Alex Arenas , Manlio De Domenico

Maritime shipping is a backbone of international trade and, thus, the world economy. Cargo-loaded vessels travel from one country's port to another via an underlying port-to-port transport network, contributing to international trade values…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Mengqiao Xu , Qian Pan , Haoxiang Xia , Naoki Masuda

International taxation rules are outdated, allowing multinationals to shift profits to tax havens. This paper examines how tax reforms affect profit shifting and cross-country welfare. We propose a model that separates real economic profits…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-16 Alessandro Ferrari , Sébastien Laffitte , Mathieu Parenti , Farid Toubal

Devising strategies for economic development in a globally competitive landscape requires a solid and unbiased understanding of countries technological advancements and similarities among export products. Both can be addressed through the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-01 Mika J. Straka , Guido Caldarelli , Fabio Saracco

Financial empirical correlation matrices of all the companies which both, the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones comprised during the time period 1990-1999 are studied using a time window of a limited, either 30 or 60, number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

We address the problem of maximizing Gain from Trade (GFT) in repeated buyer-seller exchanges subject to global budget balance constraints. While this problem is well-understood in purely adversarial and stochastic settings, these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi

Scientific knowledge flows enable cumulative progress by connecting researchers across disciplines, institutions, and countries. Yet it remains unclear how geography and national structures continue to shape these exchanges in an…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-03 Leyan Wu , Yong Huang , Wei Lu , Akrati Saxena , Vincent Traag

Global climate change is attracting widespread scientific, political, and public attention owing to the involvement of international initiatives such as the Paris Agreement and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We present a…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hui-Zhen Fu , Ludo Waltman