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As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is increasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and environmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and statistical models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Bangyu Li , Yang Qian

Transformer architectures, underpinned by the self-attention mechanism, have achieved state-of-the-art results across numerous natural language processing (NLP) tasks by effectively modeling long-range dependencies. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Andrew Kiruluta , Priscilla Burity , Samantha Williams

Due to the inherent complexity, temporal patterns in real-world time series often evolve across multiple intertwined scales, including long-term periodicity, short-term fluctuations, and abrupt regime shifts. While existing literature has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yubo Wang , Hui He , Chaoxi Niu , Zhendong Niu

The Indian summer monsoon is a highly complex and critical weather system that directly affects the livelihoods of over a billion people across the Indian subcontinent. Accurate short-term forecasting remains a major scientific challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Apoorva Narula , Aastha Jain , Jatin Batra , MN Rajeevan , Sandeep Juneja

High Mountain Asia (HMA) holds the highest concentration of frozen water outside the polar regions, serving as a crucial water source for more than 1.9 billion people. Precipitation represents the largest source of uncertainty for future…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Kenza Tazi , Sun Woo P. Kim , Marc Girona-Mata , Richard E. Turner

Accurate subseasonal weather forecasting remains a major challenge due to the inherently chaotic nature of the atmosphere, which limits the predictive skill of conventional models beyond the mid-range horizon (approximately 15 days). In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Arsen Kuzhamuratov , Mikhail Zhirnov , Andrey Kuznetsov , Ivan Oseledets , Konstantin Sobolev

Statistical downscaling is a crucial component of the weather modeling field, where high-resolution outputs must be reconstructed from coarse-resolution inputs with the full cost of dynamical refinement. In this work, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Rui Wang , Edoardo Pasetto , Amer Delilbasic , Morris Riedel , Kristel Michielsen , Gabriele Cavallaro

Multi-step prediction is considered of major significance for time series analysis in many real life problems. Existing methods mainly focus on one-step-ahead forecasting, since multiple step forecasting generally fails due to accumulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Bashar Alhnaity , Stefanos Kollias , Georgios Leontidis , Shouyong Jiang , Bert Schamp , Simon Pearson

Deep learning models for precipitation forecasting often function as black boxes, limiting their adoption in real-world weather prediction. To enhance transparency while maintaining accuracy, we developed an interpretable deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Tanmay Ghosh , Shaurabh Anand , Rakesh Gomaji Nannewar , Nithin Nagaraj

Various adverse weather conditions such as fog and rain pose a significant challenge to autonomous driving (AD) perception tasks like semantic segmentation, object detection, etc. The common domain adaption strategy is to minimize the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Wei-Bin Kou , Guangxu Zhu , Rongguang Ye , Jingreng Lei , Shuai Wang , Qingfeng Lin , Ming Tang , Yik-Chung Wu

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem H. Fitwib , Selvi Karpaga Subramaniand , Anubhav Kumard , Teshome Goa Tella

Over the last couple of decades, there has been a surge in various approaches to multiple-point statistics simulation, commonly referred to as MPS. These methods have aimed to improve several critical aspects of realism in the results,…

Accurate forecasts of the US renewable-generation mix are critical for planning transmission upgrades, sizing storage, and setting balancing-market rules. We present a Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA (BDARMA) model for monthly shares of hydro,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-24 Harrison Katz , Thomas Maierhofer

Transient signals are often composed of a series of modes that have multivalued time-dependent instantaneous frequency (IF), which brings challenges to the development of signal processing technology. Fortunately, the group delay (GD) of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-23 Haoran Dong , Gang Yu

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

A key challenge for computationally intensive state-of-the-art Earth System models is to distinguish global warming signals from interannual variability. Here we introduce DLESyM, a parsimonious deep learning model that accurately simulates…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay , Bowen Liu , Dale Durran , Zihui Liu , Zachary I. Espinosa , Raul Moreno , Matthias Karlbauer

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

Wastewater surveillance has emerged as a critical public health tool, enabling early detection of infectious disease outbreaks and providing timely, population-level insights into community health trends. However, variability in sample…