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eCommerce transaction frauds keep changing rapidly. This is the major issue that prevents eCommerce merchants having a robust machine learning model for fraudulent transactions detection. The root cause of this problem is that rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 Huiying Mao , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri

In the classic machine learning framework, models are trained on historical data and used to predict future values. It is assumed that the data distribution does not change over time (stationarity). However, in real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Mansour Zoubeirou A Mayaki , Michel Riveill

In applied machine learning, concept drift, which is either gradual or abrupt changes in data distribution, can significantly reduce model performance. Typical detection methods,such as statistical tests or reconstruction-based models,are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 N Harshit , K Mounvik

This paper deals with the issue of concept drift in supervised machine learn-ing. We make use of graphical models to elicit the visible structure of the dataand we infer from there changes in the hidden context. Differently from previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Luigi Riso , Marco Guerzoni

Neural network based data-driven market simulation unveils a new and flexible way of modelling financial time series without imposing assumptions on the underlying stochastic dynamics. Though in this sense generative market simulation is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 Hans Bühler , Blanka Horvath , Terry Lyons , Imanol Perez Arribas , Ben Wood

The generation of synthetic financial data is a critical technology in the financial domain, addressing challenges posed by limited data availability. Traditionally, statistical models have been employed to generate synthetic data. However,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yuki Tanaka , Ryuji Hashimoto , Takehiro Takayanagi , Zhe Piao , Yuri Murayama , Kiyoshi Izumi

Data distributions in streaming environments are usually not stationary. In order to maintain a high predictive quality at all times, online learning models need to adapt to distributional changes, which are known as concept drift. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Johannes Haug , Gjergji Kasneci

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

In many real-world applications, data are often collected in the form of stream, and thus the distribution usually changes in nature, which is referred as concept drift in literature. We propose a novel and effective approach to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Peng Zhao , Le-Wen Cai , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Rapidly changing business environments expose companies to high levels of uncertainty. This uncertainty manifests itself in significant changes that tend to occur over the lifetime of a process and possibly affect its performance. It is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Jan Niklas Adams , Sebastiaan J. van Zelst , Lara Quack , Kathrin Hausmann , Wil M. P. van der Aalst , Thomas Rose

Financial markets are of much interest to researchers due to their dynamic and stochastic nature. With their relations to world populations, global economies and asset valuations, understanding, identifying and forecasting trends and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Peter Akioyamen , Yi Zhou Tang , Hussien Hussien

Data scarcity and confidentiality in finance often impede model development and robust testing. This paper presents a unified multi-criteria evaluation framework for synthetic financial data and applies it to three representative generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Christophe D. Hounwanou , Yae Ulrich Gaba , Pierre Ntakirutimana

Financial markets are complex systems characterized by high statistical noise, nonlinearity, volatility, and constant evolution. Thus, modeling them is extremely hard. Here, we address the task of generating realistic and responsive Limit…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Leonardo Berti , Bardh Prenkaj , Paola Velardi

Streaming sources of data are becoming more common as the ability to collect data in real-time grows. A major concern in dealing with data streams is concept drift, a change in the distribution of data over time, for example, due to changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Ben Halstead , Yun Sing Koh , Patricia Riddle , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Albert Bifet , Russel Pears

In quantitative finance, the gap between training and real-world performance-driven by concept drift and distributional non-stationarity-remains a critical obstacle for building reliable data-driven systems. Models trained on static…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Haochong Xia , Yao Long Teng , Regan Tan , Molei Qin , Xinrun Wang , Bo An

Synthetic time series are often used in practical applications to augment the historical time series dataset for better performance of machine learning algorithms, amplify the occurrence of rare events, and also create counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Andrea Coletta , Sriram Gopalakrishan , Daniel Borrajo , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Financial crises emerge when structural vulnerabilities accumulate across sectors, markets, and investor behavior. Predicting these systemic transitions is challenging because they arise from evolving interactions between market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-22 Sandeep Neela

Event sequence data is increasingly available in various application domains, such as business process management, software engineering, or medical pathways. Processes in these domains are typically represented as process diagrams or flow…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Anton Yeshchenko , Claudio Di Ciccio , Jan Mendling , Artem Polyvyanyy

Financial simulators play an important role in enhancing forecasting accuracy, managing risks, and fostering strategic financial decision-making. Despite the development of financial market simulation methodologies, existing frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Haochong Xia , Shuo Sun , Xinrun Wang , Bo An