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We present a new approach to the electromagnetic inverse problem that explicitly addresses the ambiguity associated with its ill-posed character. Rather than calculating a single ``best'' solution according to some criterion, our approach…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David M. Schmidt , John S. George , C. C. Wood

In this present work, we discuss the Bayesian inference for the bivariate pseudo-exponential distribution. Initially, we assume independent gamma priors and then pseudo-gamma priors for the pseudo-exponential parameters. We are primarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Banoth Veeranna

In the social sciences we are often interested in comparing models specified by parametric equality or inequality constraints. For instance, when examining three group means $\{ \mu_1, \mu_2, \mu_3\}$ through an analysis of variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Guido Consonni , Roberta Paroli

Fitted probabilities from widely used Bayesian multinomial probit models can depend strongly on the choice of a base category, which is used to uniquely identify the parameters of the model. This paper proposes a novel identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Lane F. Burgette , David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

The determination of the fundamental parameters of the Standard Model (and its extensions) is often limited by the presence of statistical and theoretical uncertainties. We present several models for the latter uncertainties (random,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-26 Jérôme Charles , Sébastien Descotes-Genon , Valentin Niess , Luiz Vale Silva

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

In this work, we develop a Bayesian framework for solving inverse problems in which the unknown parameter belongs to a space of Radon measures taking values in a separable Hilbert space. The inherent ill-posedness of such problems is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Phuoc-Truong Huynh

Bayesian inference provides a rigorous methodology for estimation and uncertainty quantification of parameters in geophysical forward models. Badlands (basin and landscape dynamics model) is a landscape evolution model that simulates…

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating a parameter of a probability distribution when we have some prior information on a nuisance parameter. We start by the very simple case where we know perfectly the value of the nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-08-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Adel Mohammadpour

Counterfactual explanations utilize feature perturbations to analyze the outcome of an original decision and recommend an actionable recourse. We argue that it is beneficial to provide several alternative explanations rather than a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Natraj Raman , Daniele Magazzeni , Sameena Shah

As for other latent-variable problems, exact Bayesian analysis is typically not practicable for mixture problems and approximate methods have been developed. Variational Bayes tends to produce approximate posterior distributions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Nils Lid Hjort , Mike Titterington

Informally, "Information Inconsistency" is the property that has been observed in many Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection procedures whereby the Bayesian conclusion does not become definitive when the data seems to become…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Joris Mulder , James O. Berger , Víctor Peña , M. J. Bayarri

This paper deals with Bayesian inference of a mixture of Gaussian distributions. A novel formulation of the mixture model is introduced, which includes the prior constraint that each Gaussian component is always assigned a minimal number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-21 Colin J. Stoneking

An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander