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We investigate a generalized stochastic model with the property known as mean reversion, that is, the tendency to relax towards a historical reference level. Besides this property, the dynamics is driven by multiplicative and additive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 C. Anteneodo , R. Riera

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

The Gaussian process (GP) is a nonparametric prior distribution over functions indexed by time, space, or other high-dimensional index set. The GP is a flexible model yet its limitation is given by its very nature: it can only model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-15 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method to learn translation-invariant relationships on non-Euclidean domains. The resulting graph convolutional Gaussian processes can be applied to problems in machine learning for which the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Ian Walker , Ben Glocker

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

We consider the 1D Expected Improvement optimization based on Gaussian processes having spectral densities converging to zero faster than exponentially. We give examples of problems where the optimization trajectory is not dense in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Dmitry Yarotsky

This paper presents a new model called infinite mixtures of multivariate Gaussian processes, which can be used to learn vector-valued functions and applied to multitask learning. As an extension of the single multivariate Gaussian process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-29 Shiliang Sun

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

Reconstructing a band-limited function from its finite sample data is a fundamental task in signal analysis. A Gaussian regularized Shannon sampling series has been proved to be able to achieve exponential convergence for uniform sampling.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Yunfei Yang , Haizhang Zhang

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

Multiplicative white-noise stochastic processes continuously attract the attention of a wide area of scientific research. The variety of prescriptions available to define it difficults the development of general tools for its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-11 Zochil González Arenas , Daniel G. Barci

The observable outputs of many complex dynamical systems consist in time series exhibiting autocorrelation functions of great diversity of behaviors, including long-range power-law autocorrelation functions, as a signature of interactions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-05 Pedro Carpena , Pedro A. Bernaola-Galván , Manuel Gómez-Extremera , Ana V. Coronado

We study the persistence probability of a centered stationary Gaussian process on $\mathbb{Z}$ or $\mathbb{R}$, that is, its probability to remain positive for a long time. We describe the delicate interplay between this probability and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Naomi Feldheim , Ohad Feldheim , Shahaf Nitzan

This work brings together two powerful concepts in Gaussian processes: the variational approach to sparse approximation and the spectral representation of Gaussian processes. This gives rise to an approximation that inherits the benefits of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 James Hensman , Nicolas Durrande , Arno Solin

Many problems in machine learning and statistics can be formulated as (generalized) eigenproblems. In terms of the associated optimization problem, computing linear eigenvectors amounts to finding critical points of a quadratic function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Matthias Hein , Thomas Bühler

The limit Gaussian distribution of multivariate weighted functionals of nonlinear transformations of Gaussian stationary processes, having multiple singular spectra, is derived, under very general conditions on the weight function. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Alexander V. Ivanov , Nikolai Leonenko , María D. Ruiz-Medina , Irina N. Savich

Spectral approximation and variational inducing learning for the Gaussian process are two popular methods to reduce computational complexity. However, in previous research, those methods always tend to adopt the orthonormal basis functions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-15 Wenqi Fang , Guanlin Wu , Jingjing Li , Zheng Wang , Jiang Cao , Yang Ping

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

In a broad and fundamental type of ''inverse problems'' in science, one infers a spatially distributed physical attribute based on observations of processes that are controlled by the spatial attribute in question. The data-generating field…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-09 Zepu Zhang
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