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Related papers: A Copula-Guided Temporal Dependency Method for Mul…

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Non-Markovian dynamics are commonly found in real-world environments due to long-range dependencies, partial observability, and memory effects. The Bellman equation that is the central pillar of Reinforcement learning (RL) becomes only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Zuyuan Zhang , Sizhe Tang , Tian Lan

This paper presents a general framework for modeling dependence in multivariate time series. Its fundamental approach relies on decomposing each signal in a system into various frequency components and then studying the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-01 Hernando Ombao , Marco Pinto

Deep models for Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting have recently demonstrated significant success. Channel-dependent models capture complex dependencies that channel-independent models cannot capture. However, the number of channels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Wray Buntine , Shilin Qu , Abishek Sriramulu , Weicong Tan , Christoph Bergmeir

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Spatio-temporal traffic prediction is crucial in intelligent transportation systems. The key challenge of accurate prediction is how to model the complex spatio-temporal dependencies and adapt to the inherent dynamics in data. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Wanna Cui , Peizheng Wang , Faliang Yin

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

There are relatively few works dealing with conformal prediction for multi-task learning issues, and this is particularly true for multi-target regression. This paper focuses on the problem of providing valid (i.e., frequency calibrated)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Soundouss Messoudi , Sébastien Destercke , Sylvain Rousseau

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

A large number of scientific studies and engineering problems involve high-dimensional spatiotemporal data with complicated relationships. In this paper, we focus on a type of space-time interaction named \emph{temporal evolution of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Shiwei Lan

This study was sparked by an extensive longitudinal dataset focusing on HIV CD4 T$^+$ cell counts from Livingstone district, Zambia. Analysis of the corresponding histogram plots reveals an absence of symmetry in the marginal distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Fully unsupervised deep generative modeling (FU-DGM) is promising for compressively sampled MRI (CS-MRI) when training data or compute are limited. Classical FU-DGMs such as DIP and INR rely on architectural priors, but the ill-conditioned…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Qingyong Zhu , Yumin Tan , Xiang Gu , Dong Liang

Handling highly dependent data is crucial in clinical trials, particularly in fields related to ophthalmology. Incorrectly specifying the dependency structure can lead to biased inferences. Traditionally, models rely on three fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Shuyi Liang , Takeshi Emura , Chang-Xing Ma , Yijing Xin , Xin-Wei Huang

Spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting is a critical task with extensive applications in the real world, including traffic and weather forecasting. Although several recent methods have been proposed to model complex dynamics in STGs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Jinhyeok Choi , Heehyeon Kim , Minhyeong An , Joyce Jiyoung Whang

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven technique to identify a low dimensional linear time invariant dynamics underlying high-dimensional data. For systems in which such underlying low-dimensional dynamics is time-varying, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mustaffa Alfatlawi , Vaibhav Srivastava

Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Copula mixed models for trivariate (or bivariate) meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies accounting (or not) for disease prevalence have been proposed in the biostatistics literature to synthesize information. However, many…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-12 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Missing data is a common issue in various fields such as medicine, social sciences, and natural sciences, and it poses significant challenges for accurate statistical analysis. Although numerous imputation methods have been proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Seongmin Kim , Jeunghun Oh , Hungkuk Ko , Jeongmin Park , Jaeyong Lee

Classifying multi-temporal scene land-use categories and detecting their semantic scene-level changes for imagery covering urban regions could straightly reflect the land-use transitions. Existing methods for scene change detection rarely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Lixiang Ru , Bo Du , Chen Wu

Learning predictive models for unlabeled spatiotemporal data is challenging in part because visual dynamics can be highly entangled in real scenes, making existing approaches prone to overfit partial modes of physical processes while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Zhiyu Yao , Yunbo Wang , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields
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