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In the framework of semiparametric distribution regression, we consider the problem of comparing the conditional distribution functions corresponding to two samples. In contrast to testing for exact equality, we are interested in the (null)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-12 Holger Dette , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Dominik Wied

In the realm of Large Language Model (LLM) functionalities, providing reliable information is paramount, yet reports suggest that LLM outputs lack consistency. This inconsistency, often at-tributed to randomness in token sampling,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yanggyu Lee , Jihie Kim

There is a well-known problem in Null Hypothesis Significance Testing: many statistically significant results fail to replicate in subsequent experiments. We show that this problem arises because standard `point-form null' significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

As Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly appear in social science research (e.g., economics and marketing), it becomes crucial to assess how well these models replicate human behavior. In this work, using hypothesis testing, we present…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Harbin Hong , Sebastian Caldas , Liu Leqi

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

Consider the problem of testing whether the outputs of a large language model (LLM) system change under an arbitrary intervention, such as an input perturbation or changing the model variant. We cannot simply compare two LLM outputs since…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Paulius Rauba , Qiyao Wei , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

We consider the problem of testing whether two finite-dimensional random dot product graphs have generating latent positions that are independently drawn from the same distribution, or distributions that are related via scaling or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Minh Tang , Avanti Athreya , Daniel L. Sussman , Vince Lyzinski , Carey E. Priebe

In this article, we propose a one-sample test to check whether the support of the unknown distribution generating the data is homologically equivalent to the support of some specified distribution or not OR using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Satish Kumar , Subhra Sankar Dhar

We propose novel kernel-based tests for assessing the equivalence between distributions. Traditional goodness-of-fit testing is inappropriate for concluding the absence of distributional differences, because failure to reject the null…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Xing Liu , Axel Gandy

We provide a distribution-free test that can be used to determine whether any two joint distributions $p$ and $q$ are statistically different by inspection of a large enough set of samples. Following recent efforts from Long et al. [1], we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Francesco Solera , Andrea Palazzi

Comparing two (large) language models (LMs) side-by-side and pinpointing their prediction similarities and differences on the same set of inputs are crucial in many real-world scenarios, e.g., one can test if a licensed model was…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Weitang Liu , Yuelei Li , Ying Wai Li , Zihan Wang , Jingbo Shang

We consider the problem of testing the equality of conditional distributions of a response variable given a vector of covariates between two populations. Such a hypothesis testing problem can be motivated from various machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Xiaoyu Hu , Jing Lei

In multiple classification, one aims to determine whether a testing sequence is generated from the same distribution as one of the M training sequences or not. Unlike most of existing studies that focus on discrete-valued sequences with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Lina Zhu , Lin Zhou

Scientific idea generation and selection requires exploration following a target probability distribution. In contrast, current AI benchmarks have objectively correct answers, and training large language models (LLMs) via reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Ivy Yuqian Yang , David Yu Zhang

We present a general framework for hypothesis testing on distributions of sets of individual examples. Sets may represent many common data sources such as groups of observations in time series, collections of words in text or a batch of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-03 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

As large language models (LLMs) transition from chat interfaces to integral components of stochastic pipelines and systems approaching general intelligence, the ability to faithfully sample from specified probability distributions has…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Minda Zhao , Yilun Du , Mengyu Wang

Testing to see whether a given data set comes from some specified distribution is among the oldest types of problems in Statistics. Many such tests have been developed and their performance studied. The general result has been that while a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Wolfgang Rolke

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate survey responses, but synthetic data can be misaligned with the human population, leading to unreliable inference. We develop a general framework that converts LLM-simulated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Chengpiao Huang , Yuhang Wu , Kaizheng Wang

Large language models (LLMs) enable state-of-the-art semantic capabilities to be added to software systems such as semantic search of unstructured documents and text generation. However, these models are computationally expensive. At scale,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Zafaryab Rasool , Scott Barnett , David Willie , Stefanus Kurniawan , Sherwin Balugo , Srikanth Thudumu , Mohamed Abdelrazek
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