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Credit risk in the China's bond market has become increasingly evident, creating a progressively escalating risk of default for credit bond investors. Given the current incomplete and inaccurate bond information disclosure, timely tracking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-09 Kai Ren

The special and important problems of default prediction for municipal bonds are addressed using a combination of text embeddings from a pre-trained transformer network, a fully connected neural network, and synthetic oversampling. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Luke Jordan

We develop a model to predict consumer default based on deep learning. We show that the model consistently outperforms standard credit scoring models, even though it uses the same data. Our model is interpretable and is able to provide a…

General Economics · Economics 2019-10-07 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Mortgage default prediction is a core task in financial risk management, and machine learning models are increasingly used to estimate default probabilities and provide interpretable signals for downstream decisions. In real-world mortgage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xianghong Hu , Tianning Xu , Ying Chen , Shuai Wang

Accurate prediction of future loan defaults is a critical capability for financial institutions that provide lines of credit. For institutions that issue and manage extensive loan volumes, even a slight improvement in default prediction…

Crop yield prediction is one of the most important challenge, which is crucial to world food security and policy-making decisions. The conventional forecasting techniques are limited in their accuracy with reference to the fact that they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Gopal Krishna Shyam , Ila Chandrakar

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

Intelligent diagnosis method based on data-driven and deep learning is an attractive and meaningful field in recent years. However, in practical application scenarios, the imbalance of time-series fault is an urgent problem to be solved.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Xingtai Gui , Jiyang Zhang

Interpretability analysis methods for artificial intelligence models, such as LIME and SHAP, are widely used, though they primarily serve as post-model for analyzing model outputs. While it is commonly believed that the transparency and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-28 Yan Zhang , Lin Chen , Yixiang Tian

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish

Effective credit risk management is fundamental to financial decision-making, requiring robust models to predict default probabilities and classify financial entities. Traditional machine learning approaches face significant challenges when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S. Sua , Figen Balo , Burak Dolar

Although numerous machine learning models exist to detect issues like rolling bearing strain and deformation, typically caused by improper mounting, overloading, or poor lubrication, these models often struggle to isolate faults from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Diogo Risca , Afonso Lourenço , Goreti Marreiros

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

With the development of the financial industry, credit default prediction, as an important task in financial risk management, has received increasing attention. Traditional credit default prediction methods mostly rely on machine learning…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Yuhan Wang , Zhen Xu , Yue Yao , Jinsong Liu , Jiating Lin

Financial time series forecasting is, without a doubt, the top choice of computational intelligence for finance researchers from both academia and financial industry due to its broad implementation areas and substantial impact. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Omer Berat Sezer , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Sangyeon Kim , Myungjoo Kang

Financial time series forecasting in zero-shot settings is critical for investment decisions, especially during abrupt market regime shifts or in emerging markets with limited historical data. While Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Anxian Liu , Junying Ma , Guang Zhang

Procrastination, the irrational delay of tasks, is a common occurrence in online learning. Potential negative consequences include higher risk of drop-outs, increased stress, and reduced mood. Due to the rise of learning management systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Christof Imhof , Ioan-Sorin Comsa , Martin Hlosta , Behnam Parsaeifard , Ivan Moser , Per Bergamin

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti
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