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We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

We study a dynamic random utility model that allows for consumption dependence. We axiomatically analyze this model and find insights that allow us to distinguish between behavior that arises due to consumption dependence and behavior that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-20 Christopher Turansick

Motivated by the analysis of a general optimal portfolio selection problem, which encompasses as special cases an optimal consumption and an optimal debt-arrangement problem, we are concerned with the questions of how a personality trait…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-14 Francesco Ruscitti , Ram Sewak Dubey , Giorgio Laguzzi

This paper builds a rule for decisionmaking from the physical behavior of single neurons, the well established neural circuitry of mutual inhibition, and the evolutionary principle of natural selection. No axioms are used in the derivation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-21 Valdes Salvador , Gonzalo ValdesEdwards

We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-14 Jonathan E. Ingersoll , Lawrence J. Jin

We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-17 Sigrid Kallblad , Jan Obloj , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

Barseghyan and Molinari (2023) give sufficient conditions for semi-nonparametric point identification of parameters of interest in a mixture model of decision-making under risk, allowing for unobserved heterogeneity in utility functions and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Xinwei Ma , Yusufcan Masatlioglu

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

Reliability (survival analysis, to biostatisticians) is a key ingredient for mak- ing decisions that mitigate the risk of failure. The other key ingredient is utility. A decision theoretic framework harnesses the two, but to invoke this…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-24 Nozer D. Singpurwalla

Classic decision-theory is based on the maximum expected utility (MEU) principle, but crucially ignores the resource costs incurred when determining optimal decisions. Here we propose an axiomatic framework for bounded decision-making that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-09 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

We obtain a full characterization of consistency with respect to higher-order stochastic dominance within the rank-dependent utility model. Different from the results in the literature, we do not assume any condition on the utility…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

In this paper we study the dynamics and ergodic theory of certain economic models which are implicitly defined. We consider 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional overlapping generations models, a cash-in-advance model, heterogeneous markets and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Eugen Mihailescu

The Plackett--Luce model has been extensively used for rank aggregation in social choice theory. A central statistical question in this model concerns estimating the utility vector that governs the model's likelihood. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu

We propose a game-theoretic framework that incorporates both incomplete information and general ambiguity attitudes on factors external to all players. Our starting point is players' preferences on payoff-distribution vectors, essentially…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-04 Jian Yang

Counterfactual utilities evaluate decisions not only by the realized outcome under a given decision, but also by the counterfactual outcomes that would arise under alternative decisions. By generalizing standard utility frameworks, they…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Benedikt Koch , Kosuke Imai , Tomasz Strzalecki

This study proposes a tractable stochastic choice model to identify motivations for prosocial behavior, and to explore alternative motivations of deliberate randomization beyond ex-ante fairness concerns. To represent social preferences, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-01 Yosuke Hashidate , Keisuke Yoshihara

Monotonicity and recursivity are central assumptions in intertemporal consumption problems under ambiguity. We show that monotone recursive preferences admit both a recursive and an ex-ante representation, and that the certainty equivalent…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-23 Massimo Marinacci , Giulio Principi , Lorenzo Stanca

In this paper we study a robust expected utility maximization problem with random endowment in discrete time. We give conditions under which an optimal strategy exists and derive a dual representation for the optimal utility. Our approach…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Daniel Bartl , Patrick Cheridito , Michael Kupper

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

Approaches for estimating preferences from human annotated data typically involves inducing a distribution over a ranked list of choices such as the Plackett-Luce model. Indeed, modern AI alignment tools such as Reward Modelling and Direct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-20 Chirag Nagpal