English
Related papers

Related papers: Adaptive Temporal Fusion Transformers for Cryptocu…

200 papers

Accurate multi-horizon retail forecasts are critical for inventory and promotions. We present a novel study of weekly Walmart sales (45 stores, 2010--2012) using a Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) that fuses static store identifiers with…

Efficient inventory management and accurate sales forecasting are critical challenges in large-scale e-commerce platforms such as Amazon, where stockouts and overstocking can lead to substantial financial losses and operational…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Zheqi Hu , Yiwen Hu , Hanwu Li

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) seeks to model temporal dynamics among variables to predict future trends. Transformer-based models and large language models (LLMs) have shown promise due to their ability to capture long-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Abdul Monaf Chowdhury , Rabeya Akter , Safaeid Hossain Arib

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Electronic coupling matrix elements are important to the theoretical description of electron transfer processes. However, they are notoriously difficult to obtain accurately from time- dependent density functional theory (TDDFT). Here, we…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-12-07 Debashree Manna , Jochen Blumberger , Jan M. L. Martin , Leeor Kronik

Airport performance prediction with a reasonable look-ahead time is a challenging task and has been attempted by various prior research. Traffic, demand, weather, and traffic management actions are all critical inputs to any prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Liya Wang , Alex Tien , Jason Chou

Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

The scope of data-driven fault diagnosis models is greatly extended through deep learning (DL). However, the classical convolution and recurrent structure have their defects in computational efficiency and feature representation, while the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yifei Ding , Minping Jia , Qiuhua Miao , Yudong Cao

Financial markets are inherently volatile and prone to sudden disruptions such as market crashes, flash collapses, and liquidity crises. Accurate anomaly detection and early risk forecasting in financial time series are therefore crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ziling Fan , Ruijia Liang , Yiwen Hu

Through in-depth analysis of ultra high frequency (UHF) stock price change data, more reasonable discrete dynamic distribution models are constructed in this paper. Firstly, we classify the price changes into several categories. Then,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Wei Dai , Yuan An , Wen Long

The \textit{Temporal Fusion Transformer} (TFT), proposed by Lim \textit{et al.}, published in \textit{International Journal of Forecasting} (2021), is a state-of-the-art attention-based deep neural network architecture specifically designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Krishnakanta Barik , Goutam Paul

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

In regression, conformal prediction is a general methodology to construct prediction intervals in a distribution-free manner. Although conformal prediction guarantees strong statistical property for predictive inference, its inherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Wenyu Chen , Zhaokai Wang , Wooseok Ha , Rina Foygel Barber

This paper presents a gradient-based method for on-the-fly optimization for both per-frame and per-frequency window length of the short-time Fourier transform (STFT), related to previous work in which we developed a differentiable version…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-07 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Mohammed El Badaoui