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Survival modeling predicts the time until an event occurs and is widely used in risk analysis; for example, it's used in medicine to predict the survival of a patient based on censored data. There is a need for large-scale, realistic, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Aaron Green , Zihan Nie , Hanzhen Qin , Oshani Seneviratne , Kristin P. Bennett

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Survival analysis is a challenging variation of regression modeling because of the presence of censoring, where the outcome measurement is only partially known, due to, for example, loss to follow up. Such problems come up frequently in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Chirag Nagpal , Steve Yadlowsky , Negar Rostamzadeh , Katherine Heller

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

Survival Regression (SuR) is a key technique for modeling time to event in important applications such as clinical trials and semiconductor manufacturing. Currently, SuR algorithms belong to one of three classes: non-linear black-box --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Luigi Rovito , Marco Virgolin

Life expectancy is a fundamental indicator of population health and socio-economic well-being, yet accurately forecasting it remains challenging due to the interplay of demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors. This study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Roman Dolgopolyi , Ioanna Amaslidou , Agrippina Margaritou

Breast cancer remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women worldwide. Ultrasound imaging, widely used due to its safety and cost-effectiveness, plays a key role in early detection, especially in patients with dense breast…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Mohammad Abbadi , Yassine Himeur , Shadi Atalla , Wathiq Mansoor

Models for predicting the time of a future event are crucial for risk assessment, across a diverse range of applications. Existing time-to-event (survival) models have focused primarily on preserving pairwise ordering of estimated event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-14 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chenyang Tao , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Applications of machine learning in healthcare often require working with time-to-event prediction tasks including prognostication of an adverse event, re-hospitalization or death. Such outcomes are typically subject to censoring due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Chirag Nagpal , Willa Potosnak , Artur Dubrawski

This tutorial shows how various Bayesian survival models can be fitted using the integrated nested Laplace approximation in a clear, legible, and comprehensible manner using the INLA and INLAjoint R-packages. Such models include accelerated…

While multimodal survival prediction models are increasingly more accurate, their complexity often reduces interpretability, limiting insight into how different data sources influence predictions. To address this, we introduce DIMAFx, an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Aniek Eijpe , Soufyan Lakbir , Melis Erdal Cesur , Sara P. Oliveira , Angelos Chatzimparmpas , Sanne Abeln , Wilson Silva

Survival prediction is an important branch of cancer prognosis analysis. The model that predicts survival risk through TCGA genomics data can discover genes related to cancer and provide diagnosis and treatment recommendations based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Wankang Zhai

Medical practitioners use survival models to explore and understand the relationships between patients' covariates (e.g. clinical and genetic features) and the effectiveness of various treatment options. Standard survival models like the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-09 Jared Katzman , Uri Shaham , Jonathan Bates , Alexander Cloninger , Tingting Jiang , Yuval Kluger

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

The aim of survival analysis in healthcare is to estimate the probability of occurrence of an event, such as a patient's death in an intensive care unit (ICU). Recent developments in deep neural networks (DNNs) for survival analysis show…

Global pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 crisis, highlight the need for stochastic epidemic models that can capture the randomness inherent in the spread of disease. Such models must be accompanied by methods for estimating parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-13 Vincent Wieland , Nils Wassmuth , Lorenzo Contento , Martin Kühn , Jan Hasenauer

This paper describes methods for comparative evaluation of the interpretability of models of high dimensional time series data inferred by unsupervised machine learning algorithms. The time series data used in this investigation were logs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Nicholas Hoernle , Kobi Gal , Barbara Grosz , Leilah Lyons , Ada Ren , Andee Rubin

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are widely used in many disciplines. Nonetheless, existing model comparison criteria do not indicate whether a model adequately fits the data or which components may be misspecified. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Dimitris Rizopoulos , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Isabella Kardys

Interpreting critical variables involved in complex biological processes related to survival time can help understand prediction from survival models, evaluate treatment efficacy, and develop new therapies for patients. Currently, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Xinxing Wu , Chong Peng , Richard Charnigo , Qiang Cheng

Survival analysis aims at modeling the relationship between covariates and event occurrence with some untracked (censored) samples. In implementation, existing methods model the survival distribution with strong assumptions or in a discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Yu Ling , Weimin Tan , Bo Yan
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