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Football fans frequently exhibit pronounced emotional and physiological reactions during high-stakes matches. However, the temporal dynamics of this football fever are rarely modeled as a latent process. Using intensive longitudinal data…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Jonas Bauer , Christiane Fuchs , Tamara Schamberger

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the not purely random, but highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the probability distributions of scored goals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-02 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Resilience is the ability to positively respond to adversity. It has been studied in psychology for several decades, with focus on how individuals overcome traumata or cope with setbacks and obstacles in their professional career. Research…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-10 Ralph Stömmer

In this study, we analyzed one month of Call Detail Records, covering Budapest in June, 2016. During this observation period, the 2016 UEFA European Football Championship took place, where the Hungarian national football team did well,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-23 Gergő Pintér , Imre Felde

This study investigates the emotional dynamics of Italian soccer fandoms through computational analysis of user-generated content from official Instagram accounts of 83 teams across Serie A, Serie B, and Lega Pro during the 2023-24 season.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Salvatore Citraro , Giovanni Mauro , Emanuele Ferragina

We use the fertile ground of betting markets to study the anticipation of major news in financial markets. While there is a considerable body of literature on the accuracy and efficiency of betting markets after important in-match events,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-28 David Winkelmann , Christian Deutscher

The forecasting of sports events is of broad interest from the applied but also from the theoretical perspective. In this work the question is addressed for the example of the German soccer Bundesliga how a theoretically optimum forecast of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-23 Andreas Heuer

In this paper, we study collective interaction dynamics emerging in the game of football-soccer. To do so, we surveyed a database containing body-sensors traces measured during three professional football matches, where we observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 A. Chacoma , N. Almeira , J. I. Perotti , O. V. Billoni

We propose a novel mathematical model for the activity of microbloggers during an external, event-driven spike. The model leads to a testable prediction of who would become most active if a spike were to take place. This type of information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-10 Desmond J. Higham , Peter Grindrod , Alexander V. Mantzaris , Amanda Otley , Peter Laflin

The effects of real-world events on the dynamics and sentiment expressed through online conversations is not entirely understood. In particular, the dynamics of highly polarized communities, deeply invested in the outcome of a particular…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Chathika Gunaratne , Subash K. Ray , Caroline Lourenco Alves , Maria Waldl

We modeled the dynamics of a soccer match based on a network representation where players are nodes discretely clustered into homogeneous groups. Players were grouped by physical proximity, supported by the intuitive notion that competing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Luis Ramada Pereira , Rui J. Lopes , Jorge Louçã , Duarte Araújo , João Ramos

Sports betting markets are proven real-world laboratories to test theories of asset pricing anomalies and risky behaviour. Using a high-frequency dataset provided directly by a major bookmaker, containing the odds and amounts staked…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-14 Marius Ötting , Christian Deutscher , Carl Singleton , Luca De Angelis

This research delves into the utilization of smartwatch sensor data and heart rate monitoring to discern individual emotions based on body movement and heart rate. Emotions play a pivotal role in human life, influencing mental well-being,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Zikri Kholifah Nur , Rifki Wijaya , Gia Septiana Wulandari

Automatic detection of emotion has the potential to revolutionize mental health and wellbeing. Recent work has been successful in predicting affect from unimodal electrocardiogram (ECG) data. However, to be immediately relevant for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Ross Harper , Joshua Southern

As the most popular sport around the globe, the game of football has recently intrigued much research interest to explore and distill useful and appealing information from the sport. Network science and graph-centric methods have been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Yang Li , Gonzalo Mateos

The availability of massive data about sports activities offers nowadays the opportunity to quantify the relation between performance and success. In this study, we analyze more than 6,000 games and 10 million events in six European leagues…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-17 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia

This paper examines how emotional responses to football matches influence online discourse across digital spaces on Reddit. By analysing millions of posts from dozens of subreddits, it demonstrates that real-world events trigger sentiment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Mark J. Hill

In recent years, great emphasis has been placed on the prediction of association football. Due to this, several studies have proposed different types of statistical models to predict the outcome of a football match. However, most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Roberto Macrì-Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the distributions of scored goals for the home and away teams. It turns out…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

A quest for uncovering influence of behaviour on team performance involves understanding individual behaviour, interactions with others and environment, variations across groups, and effects of interventions. Although insights into each of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-11 Hidemasa Ishii , Yohei Takai , Yuichiro Marui , Yoshihiro Yamazaki , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori
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