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In this technical report we compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth rasters at high spatial resolution. Efficient, accurate, and fast methods for water depth prediction are nowadays important as urban floods are…

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have achieved significant success in the medium range, but struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Tung Nguyen , Tuan Pham , Troy Arcomano , Veerabhadra Kotamarthi , Ian Foster , Sandeep Madireddy , Aditya Grover

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Radar-based precipitation nowcasting, the task of forecasting short-term precipitation fields from previous radar images, is a critical problem for flood risk management and decision-making. While deep learning has substantially advanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Bernardo Perrone Ribeiro , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Urban flow forecasting is a challenging task, given the inherent periodic characteristics of urban flow patterns. To capture the periodicity, existing urban flow prediction approaches are often designed with closeness, period, and trend…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Hao Xue , Flora D Salim

Forecasting surface water dynamics is crucial for water resource management and climate change adaptation. However, the field lacks comprehensive datasets and standardized benchmarks. In this paper, we introduce HydroChronos, a large-scale,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Eleonora Poeta , Eliana Pastor , Isaac Corley , Tania Cerquitelli , Elena Baralis , Paolo Garza

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, transportation, and disaster response. Existing deep learning approaches often struggle to balance global structural consistency…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Penghui Wen , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Na Zhao , Feng Zhang , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

Given real-time sensor data streams obtained from machines, how can we continuously predict when a machine failure will occur? This work aims to continuously forecast the timing of future events by analyzing multi-sensor data streams. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Kota Nakamura , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Precipitation nowcasting aims to forecast short-term radar echo sequences for extreme weather warning, where both prediction fidelity and inference efficiency are critical for real-world deployment. However, diffusion-based models, despite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yufeng Zhu , Chunlei Shi , Yongchao Feng , Dan Niu

Forecasting motion and spatial positions of objects is of fundamental importance, especially in safety-critical settings such as autonomous driving. In this work, we address the issue by forecasting two different modalities that carry…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Andrea Ciamarra , Federico Becattini , Lorenzo Seidenari , Alberto Del Bimbo

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar data plays a crucial role in extreme weather prediction and has broad implications for disaster management. Despite progresses have been made based on deep learning, two key challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Peng Ye , Wanghan Xu , Na Liu , Jianhua Dai , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

The increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events, which are a major cause of urban flooding, underscores the urgent need for accurate precipitation forecasting - particularly in urban areas where localized events often go undetected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Rama Kassoumeh , David Rügamer , Henning Oppel

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air…

Accurate forecasting of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or storms is critical for risk management and disaster mitigation. Although high-resolution radar observations have spurred extensive research on nowcasting models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Changhoon Song , Teng Yuan Chang , Youngjoon Hong
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