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Driver drowsiness significantly impairs the ability to accurately judge safe braking distances and is estimated to contribute to 10%-20% of road accidents in Europe. Traditional driver-assistance systems lack adaptability to real-time…

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

The advent of big data has vast potential for discovery in natural phenomena ranging from climate science to medicine, but overwhelming complexity stymies insight. Existing theory is often not able to succinctly describe salient phenomena,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Bryan E. Kaiser , Juan A. Saenz , Maike Sonnewald , Daniel Livescu

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

A fundamental challenge in car-following modeling lies in accurately representing the multi-scale complexity of driving behaviors, particularly the intra-driver heterogeneity where a single driver's actions fluctuate dynamically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Shirui Zhou , Jiying Yan , Junfang Tian , Tao Wang , Yongfu Li , Shiquan Zhong

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

We study aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty estimation in a learned regressive system dynamics model. Disentangling aleatoric uncertainty (the inherent randomness of the system) from epistemic uncertainty (the lack of data) is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Zhiyu An , Zhibo Hou , Wan Du

Discovery of new natural laws has for a long time relied on the inspiration of some genius. Recently, however, machine learning technologies, which analyze big data without human prejudice and bias, are expected to find novel natural laws.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-19 Yuma Iwasaki , Masahiko Ishida

The data-driven discovery of interpretable models approximating the underlying dynamics of a physical system has gained attraction in the past decade. Current approaches employ pre-specified functional forms or basis functions and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Rahul Golder , M. M. Faruque Hasan

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In recent years, data-driven methods have been developed to learn dynamical systems and partial differential equations (PDE). The goal of such work is discovering unknown physics and the corresponding equations. However, prior to achieving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Hao Xu , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Yixuan Jia , Siyi Chen , Yida Pan , Xiao Li , Lianghe Shi , Chanyong Jung , Haijie Yuan , Ismail Alkhouri , Yue Cynthia Wu , Saiprasad Ravishankar , Jeffrey A Fessler , Qing Qu

Descriptor systems arise naturally in real-world applications governed by algebraic constraints, such as power networks, robotics and chemical processes. When a descriptor model contains a nontrivial nilpotent block, the discrete-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Yunxiang Ma , Yibo Wang , Zhongmei Li , Chao Shang

Despite the availability of ever more data enabled through modern sensor and computer technology, it still remains an open problem to learn dynamical systems in a sample-efficient way. We propose active learning strategies that leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

We present an approach for autonomous sensor control for information gathering under partially observable, dynamic and sparsely sampled environments that maximizes information about entities present in that space. We describe our approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-24 J. Brian Burns , Aravind Sundaresan , Pedro Sequeira , Vidyasagar Sadhu

The main objective of this article is to develop scalable dynamic anomaly detectors when high-fidelity simulators of power systems are at our disposal. On the one hand, mathematical models of these high-fidelity simulators are typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Kaikai Pan , Peter Palensky , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

Simulation of population dynamics is a central research theme in computational biology, which contributes to understanding the interactions between predators and preys. Conventional mathematical tools of this theme, however, are incapable…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Jun Yamada , John Shawe-Taylor , Zafeirios Fountas