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Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

We have developed a mathematical model for in-host virus dynamics that includes spatial chemotaxis and diffusion across a two dimensional surface representing the vaginal or rectal epithelium at primary HIV infection. A linear stability…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-07 Ognjen Stancevic , Christopher Angstmann , John M. Murray , Bruce I. Henry

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

The ecological invasion problem in which a weaker exotic species invades an ecosystem inhabited by two strongly competing native species is modelled by a three-species competition-diffusion system. It is known that for a certain range of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-01 Lorenzo Contento , Masayasu Mimura

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

In this paper, we examine the long-time dynamics of an epidemic model whose diffusion and reaction terms involve nonlocal effects described by suitable convolution operators.The spreading front of the disease is represented by the free…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Rong Wang , Yihong Du

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

In mathematical studies of the dynamics of multi-strain diseases caused by antigenically diverse pathogens, there is a substantial interest in analytical insights. Using the example of a generic model of multi-strain diseases with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-11-13 K. B. Blyuss

The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model must take into account the large uncertainty in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

This research gives a thorough examination of an HIV infection model that includes quiescent cells and immune response dynamics in the host. The model, represented by a system of ordinary differential equations, captures the complex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-04 Ibrahim Nali , Attila Dénes , Abdessamad Tridane , Xueyong Zhou

We consider a time-inhomogeneous diffusion process able to describe the dynamics of infected people in a susceptible-infectious epidemic model in which the transmission intensity function is time-dependent. Such a model is well suited to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Giuseppina Albano , Virginia Giorno , Francisco Torres-Ruiz

We will study a mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the presence of combination therapy that includes within-host infectious dynamics. The deterministic model requires us to analyze asymptotic stability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-04 Majid Jaberi Douraki

Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms, which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Dean Paini , Raja Jurdak

The duration of the infectious period is a crucial determinant of the ability of an infectious disease to spread. We consider an epidemic model that is network based and non-Markovian, containing classic Kermack-McKendrick, pairwise,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-25 Robert R. Wilkinson , Kieran J. Sharkey

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-11 Giacomo Albi , Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

A local agglomeration of cooperators can support the survival or spreading of cooperation, even when cooperation is predicted to die out according to the replicator equation, which is often used in evolutionary game theory to study the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-06 Dirk Helbing

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki