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We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

In recent years, empirical Bayesian (EB) inference has become an attractive approach for estimation in parametric models arising in a variety of real-life problems, especially in complex and high-dimensional scientific applications.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Hien D Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Estimates based on 2x2 tables of frequencies are widely used in statistical applications. However, in many cases these tables are incomplete in the sense that the data required to compute the frequencies for a subset of the cells defining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-31 Li-Chun Zhang , Raymond L. Chambers

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

In this paper, we tackle the task of generating Prediction Intervals (PIs) in high-risk scenarios by proposing enhancements for learning Interval Type-2 (IT2) Fuzzy Logic Systems (FLSs) to address their learning challenges. In this context,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Ata Koklu , Yusuf Guven , Tufan Kumbasar

In this review, we examine an extended Bayesian inference method and its relation to biological information processing. We discuss the idea of combining two modes of Bayesian inference. The first is the standard Bayesian inference, which…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-07-04 Vasileios Basios , Yukio-Pegio Gunji , Pier-Francesco Moretti

We consider Bayesian multiple hypothesis problem with independent and identically distributed observations. The classical, Sanov's theorem-based, analysis of the error probability allows one to characterize the best achievable error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Hüseyin Afşer

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

One of the most important problems in system identification and statistics is how to estimate the unknown parameters of a given model. Optimization methods and specialized procedures, such as Empirical Minimization (EM) can be used in case…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan , Cristian R. Rojas

We present a simulation-based inference approach for two-stage estimators, focusing on extremum estimators in the second stage. We accommodate a broad range of first-stage estimators, including extremum estimators, high-dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Aristide Houndetoungan , Abdoul Haki Maoude

Contemporary sample size calculations for external validation of risk prediction models require users to specify fixed values of assumed model performance metrics alongside target precision levels (e.g., 95% CI widths). However, due to the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-13 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Paul Gustafson , Solmaz Setayeshgar , Laure Wynants , Richard D Riley

Nested sampling provides an estimate of the evidence of a Bayesian inference problem via probing the likelihood as a function of the enclosed prior volume. However, the lack of precise values of the enclosed prior mass of the samples…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Inference is the process of using facts we know to learn about facts we do not know. A theory of inference gives assumptions necessary to get from the former to the latter, along with a definition for and summary of the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-27 Beau Coker , Cynthia Rudin , Gary King

This paper reviews the growing field of Bayesian prediction. Bayes point and interval prediction are defined and exemplified and situated in statistical prediction more generally. Then, four general approaches to Bayes prediction are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Bertrand Clarke , Yuling Yao

We develop a statistical framework for empirical Bayes learning from selectively reported confidence intervals, and apply it to provide context for interpreting results published in MEDLINE abstracts. We use a collection of 326,060 z-scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Hunter Chen , Junming Guan , Erik van Zwet , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

A distributed binary hypothesis testing problem, in which multiple observers transmit their observations to a detector over noisy channels, is studied. Given its own side information, the goal of the detector is to decide between two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-06 Sreejith Sreekumar , Deniz Gündüz

The American Statistical Association (ASA) statement on statistical significance and P-values \cite{wasserstein2016asa} cautioned statisticians against making scientific decisions solely on the basis of traditional P-values. The statement…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Abhisek Chakraborty , Megan H. Murray , Ilya Lipkovich , Yu Du

Consider a statistical problem where a set of parameters are of interest to a researcher. Then multiple confidence intervals can be constructed to infer the set of parameters simultaneously. The constructed multiple confidence intervals are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Taeho Kim , Edsel A. Pena

In the theory of programming languages, type inference is the process of inferring the type of an expression automatically, often making use of information from the context in which the expression appears. Such mechanisms turn out to be…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-05-10 Jeremy Avigad
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