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Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Learning predictive world models is crucial for enhancing the planning capabilities of reinforcement learning (RL) agents. Recently, MuZero-style algorithms, leveraging the value equivalence principle and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Yuan Pu , Yazhe Niu , Zhenjie Yang , Jiyuan Ren , Hongsheng Li , Yu Liu

A robust model for time series forecasting is highly important in many domains, including but not limited to financial forecast, air temperature and electricity consumption. To improve forecasting performance, traditional approaches usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Long H. Nguyen , Zhenhe Pan , Opeyemi Openiyi , Hashim Abu-gellban , Mahdi Moghadasi , Fang Jin

Although LLMs have demonstrated improved performance by scaling parallel test-time compute, doing so relies on generating reasoning paths that are both diverse and accurate. For challenging problems, the forking tokens that trigger diverse…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Sheng Jia , Xiao Wang , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

At present, state-of-the-art forecasting models are short of the ability to capture spatio-temporal dependency and synthesize global information at the stage of learning. To address this issue, in this paper, through the adaptive fuzzified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Lijian Li

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Recent research has shown that large language models (LLMs) can be effectively used for real-world time series forecasting due to their strong natural language understanding capabilities. However, aligning time series into semantic spaces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Lingzheng Zhang , Lifeng Shen , Yimin Zheng , Shiyuan Piao , Ziyue Li , Fugee Tsung

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Model fusion combines multiple Large Language Models (LLMs) with different strengths into a more powerful, integrated model through lightweight training methods. Existing works on model fusion focus primarily on supervised fine-tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yanggan Gu , Yuanyi Wang , Zhaoyi Yan , Yiming Zhang , Qi Zhou , Fei Wu , Hongxia Yang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has shown great importance in numerous industries. Current state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN)-based forecasting methods usually require both graph networks (e.g., GCN) and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Wei Fan , Hui He , Liang Hu , Pengyang Wang , Ning An , Longbing Cao , Zhendong Niu

As a result of the greater availability of big data, as well as the decreasing costs and increasing power of modern computing, the use of artificial neural networks for financial time series forecasting is once again a major topic of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Adam Balusik , Jared de Magalhaes , Rendani Mbuvha

The stock price prediction task holds a significant role in the financial domain and has been studied for a long time. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have brought new ways to improve these predictions. While recent financial large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-16 Shengkun Wang , Taoran Ji , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Shang-Ching Liu , Amit Kumar , Chang-Tien Lu

While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings…

Deep learning models such as MLP, Transformer, and TCN have achieved remarkable success in univariate time series forecasting, typically relying on sliding window samples from historical data for training. However, while these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Dazhao Du , Tao Han , Song Guo

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Kelum Gajamannage , Yonggi Park

Traditional retrieval pipelines optimize utility through stages of candidate retrieval and reranking, where ranking operates over a predefined candidate set. Large Language Models (LLMs) broaden this into a generative process: given a…

The remarkable achievements of large models in the fields of natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV) have sparked interest in their application to time series forecasting within industrial contexts. This paper explores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuwei Fan , Tao Song , Chenlong Feng , Keyu Song , Chao Liu , Dongxiang Jiang

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in financial research workflows, where their role is evolving from single-model assistance for human analysts toward autonomous collaboration among multiple agents. Yet real-world…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Yiyun Zhu , Yidong Jiang , Ziwen Xu , Yinsheng Yao , Dawei Cheng , Jinru Ding , Jie Xu