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The precise Doppler method for measuring stellar radial velocities (RV) is a fundamental technique in modern astronomy. This method records a star's spectrum and detects periodic Doppler shifts in its spectral features, which indicate the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-16 Trifon Trifonov

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Empirical exoplanet mass-radius relations have been used to study the demographics and compositions of small exoplanets for many years. However, the heterogeneous nature of these measurements hinders robust statistical analysis of this…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 H. L. M. Osborne , L. D. Nielsen , V. Van Eylen , O. Barragán

During the survey phase of the Kepler mission, several thousands of stars were observed in short cadence, allowing the detection of solar-like oscillations in more than 500 main-sequence and sub-giant stars. Later, the Kepler Science Office…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-29 S. Mathur , R. A. García , S. N. Breton , A. R. G. Santos , B. Mosser , D. Huber , M. Sayeed , L. Bugnet , A. Chontos

This paper introduces a method for the nonparametric Bayesian learning of nonlinear operators, through the use of the Volterra series with kernels represented using Gaussian processes (GPs), which we term the nonparametric Volterra kernels…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We present radial velocity measurements of the very bright ($V\sim5.7$) nearby F star, DMPP-4 (HD 184960). The anomalously low Ca II H&K emission suggests mass loss from planets orbiting a low activity host star. Periodic radial velocity…

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

In this note we present the starry_process code, which implements an interpretable Gaussian process (GP) for modeling variability in stellar light curves. As dark starspots rotate in and out of view, the total flux received from a distant…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-10 Rodrigo Luger , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Christina Hedges

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

Functional covariates arise in many scientific and engineering applications when model inputs take the form of time-dependent or spatially distributed profiles, such as varying boundary conditions or changing material behaviours. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Razak Christophe Sabi Gninkou , Andrés F. López-Lopera , Franck Massa , Rodolphe Le Riche

Photospheric velocities and stellar activity features such as spots and faculae produce measurable radial velocity signals that currently obscure the detection of sub-meter-per-second planetary signals. However, photospheric velocities are…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-06 Allen B. Davis , Jessi Cisewski , Xavier Dumusque , Debra A. Fischer , Eric B. Ford

Accurate human motion prediction with well-calibrated uncertainty is critical for safe human-robot collaboration (HRC), where robots must anticipate and react to human movements in real time. We propose a structured multitask variational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jinger Chong , Xiaotong Zhang , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

For a wide range of clinical applications, such as adaptive treatment planning or intraoperative image update, feature-based deformable registration (FDR) approaches are widely employed because of their simplicity and low computational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Siming Bayer , Ute Spiske , Jie Luo , Tobias Geimer , William M. Wells , Martin Ostermeier , Rebecca Fahrig , Arya Nabavi , Christoph Bert , Ilker Eyupoglo , Andreas Maier

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to analyze spatially referenced data and to predict values at locations without observations. In contrast to many algorithmic procedures, GP models are based on a statistical framework, which…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

In our previous work, we investigated the occurrence rate of super-flares on various types of stars and their statistical properties, with a particular focus on G-type dwarfs, using entire Kepler data. The said study also considered how the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-06 A. k. Althukair , D. Tsiklauri

We tackle the problem of collaborative filtering (CF) with side information, through the lens of Gaussian Process (GP) regression. Driven by the idea of using the kernel to explicitly model user-item similarities, we formulate the GP in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Hyunjik Kim , Xiaoyu Lu , Seth Flaxman , Yee Whye Teh

We revisit the long-studied radial velocity (RV) target HD26965 using recent observations from the NASA-NSF 'NEID' precision Doppler facility. Leveraging a suite of classical activity indicators, combined with line-by-line RV analyses, we…

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

We present high-resolution near-infrared spectra taken during eight transits of 55 Cancri e, a nearby low-density super-Earth with a short orbital period (< 18 hours). While this exoplanet's bulk density indicates a possible atmosphere, one…

We infer the number of planets-per-star as a function of orbital period and planet size using $Kepler$ archival data products with updated stellar properties from the $Gaia$ Data Release 2. Using hierarchical Bayesian modeling and…