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We develop a theory of estimation when in addition to a sample of $n$ observed outcomes the underlying probabilities of the observed outcomes are known, as is typically the case in the context of numerical simulation modeling, e.g. in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Jobst Heitzig

We introduce a parameterization method called Neural Bayes which allows computing statistical quantities that are in general difficult to compute and opens avenues for formulating new objectives for unsupervised representation learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-24 Devansh Arpit , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher , Yoshua Bengio

This paper studies hypothesis testing and parameter estimation in the context of the divide and conquer algorithm. In a unified likelihood based framework, we propose new test statistics and point estimators obtained by aggregating various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Heather Battey , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Junwei Lu , Ziwei Zhu

Identifying leading measurement units from a large collection is a common inference task in various domains of large-scale inference. Testing approaches, which measure evidence against a null hypothesis rather than effect magnitude, tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Nicholas C. Henderson , Michael A. Newton

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

In nonparametric statistics, rate-optimal estimators typically balance bias and stochastic error. The recent work on overparametrization raises the question whether rate-optimal estimators exist that do not obey this trade-off. In this work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Although there are a few works reported in the literature considering loss tomography in the general topology, there is few well established result since all of them rely either on simulations or on experiments that have many random factors…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-03-28 Weiping Zhu

Measurements of quantum states form a key component in quantum-information processing. It is therefore an important task to compare measurements and furthermore decide if a measurement strategy is optimal. Entropic quantities, such as the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Wilfred Salmon , Sergii Strelchuk , David Arvidsson-Shukur

A number of applications (e.g., AI bot tournaments, sports, peer grading, crowdsourcing) use pairwise comparison data and the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model to evaluate a given collection of items (e.g., bots, teams, students, search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Jingyan Wang , Nihar B. Shah , R. Ravi

In quantum state tomography, the estimated frequencies do not correspond directly to a physical quantum state, due to statistical fluctuations. Thus, one resorts to point estimators that return the state that matches observations the best,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-09 Sacha Schwarz , Bruno Eckmann , Denis Rosset , André Stefanov

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

We discuss the asymptotics of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) in the normal mixture model. We then prove the convergence rate of the NPMLE decision in the empirical Bayes problem with normal observations. We point to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Ya'acov Ritov

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in inverse problems often have non-normal limit distributions, like Chernoff's distribution. However, if one considers smooth functionals of the model, with corresponding functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Piet Groeneboom

General Probabilistic Theories provide the most general mathematical framework for the theory of probability in an operationally natural manner, and generalize classical and quantum theories. In this article, we study state-discrimination…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-09-15 Koji Nuida , Gen Kimura , Takayuki Miyadera

An empirical Bayes problem has an unknown prior to be estimated from data. The predictive recursion (PR) algorithm provides fast nonparametric estimation of mixing distributions and is ideally suited for empirical Bayes applications. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Ryan Martin

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

We propose a flexible and identifiable version of the two-groups model, motivated by hierarchical Bayes considerations, that features an empirical null and a semiparametric mixture model for the non-null cases. We use a computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

The ability to calculate precise likelihood ratios is fundamental to many STEM areas, such as decision-making theory, biomedical science, and engineering. However, there is no assumption-free statistical methodology to achieve this. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Rachael L. Bond , Yang-Hui He , Thomas C. Ormerod

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye
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