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Trajectory prediction in autonomous driving has traditionally been studied from a model-centric perspective. However, existing datasets exhibit a strong long-tail distribution in scenario density, where common low-density cases dominate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Ruining Yang , Yi Xu , Yun Fu , Lili Su

Movement speed data from urban road networks, computed from ridesharing vehicles or taxi trajectories, is often high-dimensional, sparse, and nonstationary (e.g., exhibiting seasonality). To address these challenges, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xinyu Chen , Chengyuan Zhang , Xi-Le Zhao , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

Mobility as a Service (MaaS), as an emerging concept, is quickly evolving and at the same time irreversibly reshaping travellers behaviour by facilitating their accessibility to different transport modes using shared economy concepts.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-28 Ali Najmi , Taha H. Rashidi , Wei Liu

This paper systematically explores the advancements in adaptive trip route planning and travel time estimation (TTE) through Artificial Intelligence (AI). With the increasing complexity of urban transportation systems, traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Nikil Jayasuriya , Deshan Sumanathilaka

Traffic assignment analyzes traffic flows in road networks that emerge due to traveler interaction. Traditionally, travelers are assumed to use private cars, so road costs grow with the number of users due to congestion. However, in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Thomas Bläsius , Adrian Feilhauer , Markus Jung , Moritz Laupichler , Peter Sanders , Michael Zündorf

Deep learning has shown impressive results in a variety of time series forecasting tasks, where modeling the conditional distribution of the future given the past is the essence. However, when this conditional distribution is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Siqi Liu , Andreas Lehrmann

Reinforcement learning (RL) has had many successes in both "deep" and "shallow" settings. In both cases, significant hyperparameter tuning is often required to achieve good performance. Furthermore, when nonlinear function approximation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Kenny Young , Baoxiang Wang , Matthew E. Taylor

An important aspect of public bus transit is its reliability of being on-time, which has a major impact on bus ridership. Currently, there is no unified national standard to measure bus on-time performance in the United States. This paper…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-23 Snehanshu Banerjee , Mohammadreza Jabehdari , Ross Turlington , Cole Greene

Simulated Tempering (ST) is an MCMC algorithm for complex target distributions that operates on a path between the target and a more amenable reference distribution. Crucially, if the reference enables i.i.d. sampling, ST is regenerative…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-26 Miguel Biron-Lattes , Trevor Campbell , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté

We conjecture that the inherent difference in generalisation between adaptive and non-adaptive gradient methods in deep learning stems from the increased estimation noise in the flattest directions of the true loss surface. We demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Diego Granziol , Nicholas Baskerville

We study the problem of computing all Pareto-optimal journeys in a public transit network regarding the two criteria of arrival time and number of transfers taken. We take a novel approach, focusing on trips and transfers between them,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-07-06 Sascha Witt

While next-token prediction (NTP) has been the standard objective for training language models, it often struggles to capture global structure in reasoning tasks. Multi-token prediction (MTP) has recently emerged as a promising alternative,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Jianhao Huang , Zhanpeng Zhou , Renqiu Xia , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Weijie Su , Wei Huang

Urban rail services are the principal means of public transportation in many cities. To understand the crowding patterns and develop efficient operation strategies in the system, obtaining path choices is important. This paper proposed an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Baichuan Mo , Zhenliang Ma , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Public charging station occupancy prediction plays key importance in developing a smart charging strategy to reduce electric vehicle (EV) operator and user inconvenience. However, existing studies are mainly based on conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Tai-Yu Ma , Sébastien Faye

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

Multitarget Tracking (MTT) is the problem of tracking the states of an unknown number of objects using noisy measurements, with important applications to autonomous driving, surveillance, robotics, and others. In the model-based Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Juliano Pinto , Georg Hess , William Ljungbergh , Yuxuan Xia , Lennart Svensson , Henk Wymeersch

Automatic passenger counting (APC) in public transportation has been approached with various machine learning and artificial intelligence methods since its introduction in the 1970s. While equivalence testing is becoming more popular than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Nico Jahn , Michael Siebert

We present a novel approach for traffic forecasting in urban traffic scenarios using a combination of spectral graph analysis and deep learning. We predict both the low-level information (future trajectories) as well as the high-level…

There is a growing interest in studying sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) techniques due to their advantages for simulation-based models with intractable likelihoods. The methods aim to learn the posterior from adaptively…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-16 Xiliang Yang , Yifei Xiong , Zhijian He

We study dynamic algorithms in the model of algorithms with predictions. We assume the algorithm is given imperfect predictions regarding future updates, and we ask how such predictions can be used to improve the running time. This can be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Jan van den Brand , Sebastian Forster , Yasamin Nazari , Adam Polak