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A seller sells an object over time but is uncertain how the buyer learns their willingness-to-pay. We consider informational robustness under \textit{limited commitment}, where the seller offers a price \textit{each period} to maximize…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-10 Zihao Li , Jonathan Libgober , Xiaosheng Mu

When selling many goods with independent valuations, we develop a distributionally robust framework, consisting of a two-player game between seller and nature. The seller has only limited knowledge about the value distribution. The seller…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Tim S. G. van Eck , Pieter Kleer , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

There are numerous industrial settings in which a decision maker must decide whether to enter into long-term contracts to guarantee price (and hence cash flow) stability or to participate in more volatile spot markets. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Dimitri J. Papageorgiou

This study investigates a robust screening problem under distributional ambiguity, where a seller is uncertain about a buyer's true valuation distribution, knowing only that it lies near a reference distribution measured by the Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Shumin Ma , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Lijian Lu

This paper studies a robust utility maximization problem for intractable claims under distributional ambiguity, where the distribution of the claim cannot be inferred from market information and its dependence with tradable assets is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Xingjian Ma

We consider a model of bilateral trade with private values. The value of the buyer and the cost of the seller are jointly distributed. The true joint distribution is unknown to the designer, however, the marginal distributions of the value…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-02 Komal Malik

This paper studies the problem of distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) using total variation distance ambiguity sets. For a discrete-time linear system with additive disturbances, we provide a conditional value-at-risk…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick

We study the robust sequential screening problem of a monopolist seller of multiple cloud computing services facing a buyer who has private information about his demand distribution for these services. At the time of contracting, the buyer…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-12 Dirk Bergemann , Rahul Deb

This manuscript introduces the idea of using Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) for the Counterfactual Risk Minimization (CRM) problem. Tapping into a rich existing literature, we show that DRO is a principled tool for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-17 Louis Faury , Ugo Tanielian , Flavian Vasile , Elena Smirnova , Elvis Dohmatob

We consider decision-making problems under decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU), where the distribution of uncertain parameters depends on the decision variables and is only observable through a finite offline dataset. To address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Chengrui Qu , Huiwen Jia , Pengcheng You

Flexible demand response (DR) resources can be leveraged to accommodate the stochasticity of some distributed energy resources. This paper develops an online learning approach that continuously estimates price sensitivities of residential…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a framework for training machine learning models that are able to perform well on a collection of related data distributions (the "uncertainty set"). This is done by solving a min-max…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

In practice, auction data are often endogenously censored and anonymous, revealing only limited outcome statistics rather than full bid profiles. We study robust auction design when the seller observes only aggregated, anonymous order…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-26 Zhihao Gavin Tang , Shixin Wang

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

A monopolist offers personalized prices to consumers with unit demand, heterogeneous values, and idiosyncratic costs, who differ in a protected characteristic, such as race or gender. The seller is subject to a non-discrimination…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Philipp Strack , Kai Hao Yang

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) can improve the robustness and fairness of learning methods. In this paper, we devise stochastic algorithms for a class of DRO problems including group DRO, subpopulation fairness, and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Tasuku Soma , Khashayar Gatmiry , Sharut Gupta , Stefanie Jegelka

Distributionally robust policy learning aims to find a policy that performs well under the worst-case distributional shift, and yet most existing methods for robust policy learning consider the worst-case joint distribution of the covariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jingyuan Wang , Zhimei Ren , Ruohan Zhan , Zhengyuan Zhou

In the rapidly evolving landscape of eCommerce, Artificial Intelligence (AI) based pricing algorithms, particularly those utilizing Reinforcement Learning (RL), are becoming increasingly prevalent. This rise has led to an inextricable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Michael Schlechtinger , Damaris Kosack , Franz Krause , Heiko Paulheim

An indivisible object may be sold to one of $n$ agents who know their valuations of the object. The seller would like to use a revenue-maximizing mechanism but her knowledge of the valuations' distribution is scarce: she knows only the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-27 Alex Suzdaltsev