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The fast frequency support (FFS) towards frequency trajectory optimization provides a system view for the frequency regulation of wind farms (WFs). However, the existing frequency trajectory optimization-based FFS generally relies on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Yubo Zhang , Songhao Yang , Zhiguo Hao , Baohui Zhang

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

This work proposes a novel data-driven model capable of providing accurate predictions for the power generation of all wind turbines in wind farms of arbitrary layout, yaw angle configurations and wind conditions. The proposed model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Siyi Li , Arnaud Robert , A. Aldo Faisal , Matthew D. Piggott

Time series foundation models have demonstrated strong performance in zero-shot learning, making them well-suited for predicting rapidly evolving patterns in real-world applications where relevant training data are scarce. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Haoyu Ma , Yushu Chen , Wenlai Zhao , Jinzhe Yang , Yingsheng Ji , Xinghua Xu , Xiaozhu Liu , Hao Jing , Shengzhuo Liu , Guangwen Yang

The growing penetration of renewable energy sources in power systems has increased the complexity and uncertainty of load forecasting, especially for integrated energy systems with multiple energy carriers. Traditional forecasting methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Jiaheng Li , Donghe Li , Ye Yang , Huan Xi , Yu Xiao , Li Sun , Dou An , Qingyu Yang

The variability of wind power supply can present substantial challenges to incorporating wind power into a grid system. Thus, Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) has been widely recognized as one of the most critical issues in wind power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Jingbo Zhou , Xinjiang Lu , Yixiong Xiao , Jiantao Su , Junfu Lyu , Yanjun Ma , Dejing Dou

Time series foundational models (TSFM) have gained prominence in time series forecasting, promising state-of-the-art performance across various applications. However, their application in anomaly detection and prediction remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Chathurangi Shyalika , Harleen Kaur Bagga , Ahan Bhatt , Renjith Prasad , Alaa Al Ghazo , Amit Sheth

Low-fidelity analytical models of turbine wakes have traditionally been used for wind farm planning, performance evaluation, and demonstrating the utility of advanced control algorithms in increasing the annual energy production. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-26 Aditya H. Bhatt , Federico Bernardoni , Stefano Leonardi , Armin Zare

We introduce Sundial, a family of native, flexible, and scalable time series foundation models. To predict the next-patch's distribution, we propose a TimeFlow Loss based on flow-matching, which facilitates native pre-training of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yong Liu , Guo Qin , Zhiyuan Shi , Zhi Chen , Caiyin Yang , Xiangdong Huang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Wind speed prediction is critical to the management of wind power generation. Due to the large range of wind speed fluctuations and wake effect, there may also be strong correlations between long-distance wind turbines. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-27 Xuewei Li , Zewen Shang , Zhiqiang Liu , Jian Yu , Wei Xiong , Mei Yu

On the basis of the author's earlier results, a new source function for a numerical wind-wave model optimized by the criterion of accuracy and speed of calculation is substantiated. The proposed source function includes (a) an optimized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-30 Vladislav Polnikov

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

The increasing severity of climate change necessitates an urgent transition to renewable energy sources, making the large-scale adoption of wind energy crucial for mitigating environmental impact. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Chongyang Wan , Shunbo Lei , Yuan Luo

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

Accurate atmospheric wind field information is crucial for various applications, including weather forecasting, aviation safety, and disaster risk reduction. However, obtaining high spatiotemporal resolution wind data remains challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yuchen Ye , Chaoxia Yuan , Mingyu Li , Aoqi Zhou , Hong Liang , Chunqing Shang , Kezuan Wang , Yifeng Zheng , Cong Chen

In this paper, we propose a novel conditional diffusion-based framework for multivariable time-series solar power forecasting. The proposed method reformulates temporal PV data as structured two-dimensional representations (images) using a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Kourosh Kiani , S. M. Muyeen

We provide a theoretical analysis for end-to-end training Discrete Flow Matching (DFM) generative models. DFM is a promising discrete generative modeling framework that learns the underlying generative dynamics by training a neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Maojiang Su , Mingcheng Lu , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Shang Wu , Zhao Song , Alex Reneau , Han Liu

Various weather modelling problems (e.g., weather forecasting, optimizing turbine placements, etc.) require ample access to high-resolution, highly accurate wind data. Acquiring such high-resolution wind data, however, remains a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Jacob Schnell , Aditya Makkar , Gunadi Gani , Aniket Srinivasan Ashok , Darren Lo , Mike Optis , Alexander Wong , Yuhao Chen

Accurate renewable energy forecasting is essential to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and enabling grid decarbonization. However, current approaches fail to effectively integrate the rich spatial context of weather patterns with their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Federico Battini