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We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

We provide a computationally and statistically efficient method for estimating the parameters of a stochastic covariance model observed on a regular spatial grid in any number of dimensions. Our proposed method, which we call the Debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Arthur P. Guillaumin , Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Frederik J. Simons

Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Hossein Keshavarz , XuanLong Nguyen , Clayton Scott

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

We study the weak convergence (in the high-frequency limit) of the parameter estimators of power spectrum coefficients associated with Gaussian, spherical and isotropic random fields. In particular, we introduce a Whittle-type approximate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Claudio Durastanti , Xiaohong Lan , Domenico Marinucci

Understanding the processes that influence groundwater levels is crucial for forecasting and responding to hazards such as groundwater droughts. Mixed models, which combine a fixed mean, expressed using independent predictors, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jakub J. Pypkowski , Adam M. Sykulski , James S. Martin , Ben P. Marchant

Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to be estimated from the dataset. This article provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Toni Karvonen , George Wynne , Filip Tronarp , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Whittle-Mat\'ern fields are a recently introduced class of Gaussian processes on metric graphs, which are specified as solutions to a fractional-order stochastic differential equation. Unlike earlier covariance-based approaches for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 David Bolin , Alexandre Simas , Jonas Wallin

We study parameter estimation in linear Gaussian covariance models, which are $p$-dimensional Gaussian models with linear constraints on the covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood estimation for this class of models leads to a non-convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Piotr Zwiernik , Caroline Uhler , Donald Richards

This article presents a neural network approach for estimating the covariance function of spatial Gaussian random fields defined in a portion of the Euclidean plane. Our proposal builds upon recent contributions, expanding from the purely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Alejandro Villazón , Alfredo Alegría , Xavier Emery

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

Physics-based covariance models provide a systematic way to construct covariance models that are consistent with the underlying physical laws in Gaussian process analysis. The unknown parameters in the covariance models can be estimated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-20 Yian Chen , Mihai Anitescu

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

Iterative methods for fitting a Gaussian Random Field (GRF) model via maximum likelihood (ML) estimation requires solving a nonconvex optimization problem. The problem is aggravated for anisotropic GRFs where the number of covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Enrique Del Castillo

Spatial-temporal linear model and the corresponding likelihood-based statistical inference are important tools for the analysis of spatial-temporal lattice data. In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Xiang Zhang , Yanbing Zheng

Bayesian inference for stationary random fields is computationally demanding. Whittle-type likelihoods in the frequency domain based on the fast Fourier Transform (FFT) have several appealing features: i) low computational complexity of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Thomas Goodwin , Arthur Guillaumin , Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We present a universal technique for quantum state estimation based on the maximum-likelihood method. This approach provides a positive definite estimate for the density matrix from a sequence of measurements performed on identically…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. Banaszek , G. M. D'Ariano , M. G. A. Paris , M. F. Sacchi

We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Daira Velandia
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